Postponed
Rotherham vs Crawley Town Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1415:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Rotherham 2-1 Crawley Town
RotherhamDrawCrawley Town
Over 2.5 goalsYes (64%)
Both teams to scoreYes (65%)
Rotherham host Crawley Town at the Aesseal New York Stadium in League Two's 15th round, with the home side holding a narrow edge in the betting. Rotherham sit 22nd with 12 points from 14 games; Crawley are 24th with 9 points from 12. Both teams have struggled defensively this season, and the fixture carries attacking potential despite their league positions.
Team form
Rotherham
Rotherham's recent record reads mixed. They won 2-1 at home against Chesterfield on 29 August but have since drawn 1-1 with York and 2-2 away at Tranmere, before losing 0-1 at Bristol Rovers. Over their last five matches, they have scored 6 and conceded 7, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.4 against. Season-wide, they average 1.29 scored and 1.79 conceded per game—a side leaking chances but capable of creating them. Under Alex Bruce's 3-4-2-1 shape, they showed 56% possession and 71% pass accuracy in their most recent outing, though only mustered 2 shots on goal.
Crawley Town
Crawley's form is more concerning. They drew 2-2 at home with Chesterfield on 10 October but have won just twice all season. Their last five games yielded 6 goals scored against 11 conceded—a 2.2 goals-against average that flags serious defensive fragility. They lost 0-2 away at Grimsby, 1-3 at home to Cheltenham, and 2-3 away at Accrington. In their most recent match, they managed 5 shots on goal and 2.20 expected goals despite holding only 40% possession, suggesting they have created chances but cannot finish or defend consistently. Colin Kazim-Richards' 3-5-2 setup offers width but has not stabilised their leaky backline.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record heavily favours Crawley. They won 4-0 away at Rotherham in March 2025, and across the last five meetings hold three wins to Rotherham's one, with one draw. Crawley won 2-1 away in 2011, 3-0 at home in 2012, and 2-1 away in 2013. Rotherham's sole victory came in 2013. This historical pattern suggests Crawley have the measure of Rotherham, yet league position and current form tell a different story.
Key factors
Both defences are porous. Rotherham concede 1.79 per game; Crawley 1.75. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.54, reflecting that vulnerability. Rotherham's home advantage and slightly better recent output (1.2 goals per game in their last five versus Crawley's 1.2) offer marginal support for the hosts. Crawley's 2.2 goals-against average over the same period is alarming, particularly away from home. Rotherham's 3-4-2-1 provides defensive structure through a back three, while Crawley's 3-5-2 spreads resources wider but has proven porous. Fantasy league players should monitor whether either side can impose midfield control; Rotherham's Denzel Hall (7.2 rating) and Crawley's Darren Orsi-Dadomo (7.03) will be key to tempo and chance creation.
Prediction
Rotherham hold a slight favourite's edge. They play at home, have conceded fewer goals this season, and show marginally better recent form. Crawley's defensive record over their last five matches is alarming, and their away form compounds the risk. However, Crawley's head-to-head dominance and their ability to generate chances—evidenced by 2.20 expected goals in their last outing—means this is not a clear-cut home win. The fixture should produce goals: both teams' defensive frailties and attacking output suggest an open game.
Rotherham are marginally more likely to take the points, but Crawley cannot be ruled out given their historical edge and attacking threat. Expect a competitive match with chances at both ends. Both teams to score looks a sound proposition given their defensive vulnerabilities.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Rotherham
W
L
L
D
D
Crawley Town
L
L
W
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
Other Football matches
Rotherham vs Crawley Town - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Rotherham vs Crawley Town football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.