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Expected score: Spennymoor Town 1-2 Scarborough Athletic
Spennymoor Town welcome Scarborough Athletic to the FA Trophy Round of 128 on 14 November 2026. This is a chance for both sides to make a mark in the competition, though recent league form tells very different stories about where each team stands right now.
Team form
Spennymoor Town
Spennymoor have struggled badly in National League North, winning none of their last five games. They lost 0-3 to Scarborough just over two months ago and have been leaking goals at an alarming rate — 2.6 per game across this run. Their only bright spot was a 1-1 draw at home to Hednesford, but losses to Hereford, Bedford and Oxford City, combined with that heavy defeat to Scarborough, paint a picture of a side under real pressure. They've managed just 0.8 goals per game, which is a serious concern going forward.
Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough have been more inconsistent but show more attacking threat. They've won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five, but that win — a 5-1 demolition of Southport at home — shows they can put teams away when it clicks. They're averaging 1.4 goals per game and conceding the same, suggesting a more balanced outfit than their hosts. The 0-0 draw at Macclesfield and the 0-1 loss to AFC Telford show they can be tight defensively, though the 1-3 defeat to King's Lynn and 1-2 loss to Chorley prove they're not immune to slip-ups.
Head-to-head
These two have a fascinating history. Their last five meetings have all been draws — five in a row. They've split 8-8 on goals across those five games, with every match ending level. That pattern of stalemate is striking, though it's worth noting Spennymoor won 0-3 in the league just eight weeks ago, so Scarborough clearly have the upper hand in recent direct competition.
Key factors
Spennymoor's defensive fragility is the elephant in the room. Conceding 2.6 per game is unsustainable, and Scarborough have shown they can be clinical — they put three past Spennymoor not long ago. Scarborough's inconsistency is their weakness; they can look sharp one week and blunt the next. The FA Trophy often produces tight, cagey affairs, but Spennymoor's form suggests they'll struggle to keep Scarborough out. Scarborough's attacking potential, despite recent wobbles, gives them an edge.
Prediction
Scarborough hold a slight favourite's position here. Spennymoor are in freefall defensively and have lost their last two meetings in the league. While the head-to-head draws are notable, that recent 0-3 defeat to Scarborough carries more weight than the older pattern. Scarborough aren't in brilliant form themselves, but they're the more dangerous attacking unit and have shown they can punish Spennymoor. A fairly open game looks likely, with both sides capable of scoring, but Scarborough's recent edge in direct competition and Spennymoor's defensive woes tilt this toward the visitors.
Scarborough Athletic are slight favourites to progress. Expect a competitive match with chances at both ends, but the visitors' superior recent form against Spennymoor and their greater attacking threat should see them through.
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Spennymoor Town vs Scarborough Athletic - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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