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Expected score: Unión Sur Yaiza 1-0 Estrella
Unión Sur Yaiza host Estrella in Tercera División RFEF Group 12 on 14 November, with the home side looking to build on a strong recent run. Unión Sur Yaiza sit sixth in the standings with 16 points from 10 games, while Estrella occupy tenth place with 13 points. The hosts have shown resilience and attacking threat over their last five matches, while their visitors have struggled for consistency, particularly in defence.
Team form
Unión Sur Yaiza
Unión Sur Yaiza have won three of their last five games, including a 3-1 victory over Laguna de Duero and a 2-0 away win at Playas Sotavento. They scored 8 goals across those five matches while conceding only 4, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded per game—a marked improvement on their season average of 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Their only recent setback came last weekend at home to Panadería Pulido, losing 1-2 after a draw with Real Unión de Tenerife the week before. The hosts have shown they can both create chances and keep things tight when it matters.
Estrella
Estrella have been far less stable. They won their last two outings—2-1 at home to Playas Sotavento and 3-0 away at Laguna de Duero—but before that suffered three consecutive defeats, conceding nine goals in those three matches. Over their last five games they have scored only 5 goals while conceding 6, averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. That defensive fragility sits well above their season average of 1.50 conceded, suggesting they have tightened up slightly in recent weeks. However, their attacking output remains modest, and they will need to be sharp to trouble a home side in form.
Head-to-head
The teams have met twice in the past. Unión Sur Yaiza won 2-1 at home in March 2023, and the sides drew 2-2 away in November 2022. The hosts have the edge in recent head-to-head history and will draw confidence from their home record in this fixture.
Key factors
Unión Sur Yaiza's defensive solidity in recent weeks—conceding just 0.8 per game over five matches—gives them a platform to control this contest. Estrella's inconsistency, especially their vulnerability at the back, plays into the hands of a side that has shown it can convert chances. The visitors' modest attacking average of 1.20 goals per season game suggests they will struggle to break down a well-organised home defence. Unión Sur Yaiza's four-point advantage in the standings also reflects their superior quality on the balance of recent evidence.
Prediction
The hosts are the favourite here. They have won more games, sit higher in the table, and have demonstrated both attacking threat and defensive discipline in their last five outings. Estrella have shown they can win—their two recent victories prove that—but their inconsistency and defensive issues make them vulnerable away from home against a side in form. The expected goal balance favours Unión Sur Yaiza, and their home record in this fixture adds further encouragement. A home win is the most likely outcome.
Back Unión Sur Yaiza to win. The hosts are the favourite and have the form, the table position, and the head-to-head advantage to justify that status. Estrella are capable of scoring—both teams to score is finely balanced—but the visitors' defensive frailty and recent inconsistency make them vulnerable to a home side that has found both rhythm and resilience.
Match info
Tournaments:
Referee:
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Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 16 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
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Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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