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Vis Pesaro vs Pianese Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026
Nov 1413:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Vis Pesaro 0-1 Pianese
Vis PesaroDrawPianese
Over 2.5 goalsNo (42%)
Vis Pesaro host Pianese at the Tonino Benelli in Serie C Girone B on 14 November, a fixture that pits the division's struggling bottom-half side against a mid-table visitor. Pesaro sit 20th with just 1 win from 13 games, while Pianese occupy 16th with a more respectable 2 wins and 7 draws. The visitors arrive as the slight favourites in a match where all three outcomes remain genuinely competitive.
Team form
Vis Pesaro
Vis Pesaro's season has been a difficult one. They have scored only 11 goals across 13 matches—an average of 0.85 per game—while conceding 27, a concerning 2.08 per game. Their recent five-game stretch tells the story: one win against Guidonia Montecelio (2-1) followed by four straight defeats. In that run they managed only 6 goals but shipped 12, averaging 2.4 conceded per outing. The defence has been the primary weakness, and with so little attacking threat, Pesaro have become predictable opponents. Coach Andrea Gennari faces a squad low on confidence and struggling to generate chances.
Pianese
Pianese present a starkly different picture. Their season average of 0.77 goals scored and 1.00 conceded reflects a side built on defensive solidity and opportunism. Over their last five matches they have drawn twice (0-0 against both Pineto and Ostia Mare), won once (2-1 over Ravenna), lost once (2-3 to Livorno), and drew 1-1 with Sambenedettese. That sequence yielded 5 goals for and 5 against—a balanced record that underscores their resilience. Pianese do not score heavily but they do not leak goals either, making them a disciplined, compact outfit.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these sides shows no clear pattern. Vis Pesaro won 2-0 at home in March 2025 and 2-1 away in January 2026, while Pianese won 2-0 at home in November 2024. The teams drew 0-0 at Pesaro in September 2025. Pesaro have the better recent record in direct meetings, but their current form is so poor that historical advantage carries limited weight.
Key factors
Pesaro's defensive frailty is the central issue. They concede 2.08 per game against Pianese's measured attacking approach (0.77 per game). Pianese's defensive discipline—allowing just 1.00 per game—should contain a Pesaro attack that has managed only 1.2 goals per game over their last five outings. The visitors' ability to keep things tight, combined with Pesaro's vulnerability at the back, suggests a low-scoring affair where Pianese's solidity offers an edge. Pesaro would need a marked improvement in both defensive organisation and attacking incision to overturn the form gap.
Prediction
The model favours Pianese, reflecting their superior recent form, tighter defence, and the gap in league position. Pesaro's defensive record makes them vulnerable to a visiting side that, while not prolific, is efficient and compact. The expected goal balance tilts toward the visitors. However, this is not a clear-cut outcome—all three results remain plausible given Pesaro's home advantage and Pianese's inconsistent attacking output. The match is likely to be tight and low-scoring, with few clear-cut chances for either side.
Pianese are the most likely outcome, though the margin between the three possibilities is narrow. For fantasy purposes, prioritise Pianese's defensive assets and expect a cagey contest where clean sheets hold value. Pesaro's attacking players face an uphill task against disciplined opposition, while the hosts' backline offers little protection for fantasy defenders. The away win represents the most probable result in a match where defensive organisation will likely decide the day.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Vis Pesaro
L
D
L
L
L
Pianese
W
D
D
D
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 35 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 4 |  Pescara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 |  Torres | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Reggiana | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Livorno | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Campobasso FC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Atalanta II | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 18 |
| 11 |  Pineto | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Perugia | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 |
| 13 |  Vado | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 14 |  Forli | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 15 |  Latina | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 16 |  Pianese | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sambenedettese | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 18 |  Ostia Mare | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Gubbio | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 |
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Vis Pesaro vs Pianese - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Vis Pesaro vs Pianese football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.