Not Started
Alaves vs Valencia Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 15-09-2026
Sep 1518:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Alaves 1-0 Valencia
AlavesDrawValencia
Over 2.5 goalsNo (42%)
Both teams to scoreNo (45%)
In an intriguing matchup in La Liga, Alaves hosts Valencia at Estadio Mendizorrotza on September 15, 2026. Alaves finds themselves in great form, currently positioned third in the league standings, while Valencia struggles at the bottom of the table without a win to their name.
Team form
Alaves
Alaves has shown promising performance hitherto in this season, registering 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last five matches. Their impressive goal tally of 11 scored against just 5 conceded highlights their offensive strength and defensive resilience.
Valencia
Conversely, Valencia has yet to garner a victory, racking up only 1 point through a draw, along with 4 losses. They have scored only 1 goal and conceded 10, indicating severe difficulties in both their attacking and defensive plays.
Head-to-head
Historically, Alaves and Valencia have faced each other multiple times, with Valencia having a slight upper hand in recent meetings. The last five encounters have yielded 1 win for Alaves and 4 wins for Valencia. However, their last meeting in April 2021 ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting the potential competitiveness of this rivalry.
Key factors
Key players from Alaves, especially their midfield, will be crucial in controlling possession and creating opportunities against a vulnerable Valencia side that struggles to maintain their midfield balance. Alaves leans towards a 3-5-2 formation, utilizing a solid midfield occupancy to dominate ball progression, which could exploit Valencia’s shaky defense. Their ability to convert chances into goals has seen them excel thus far, while Valencia’s need for urgent adjustments on both ends could be fundamental in changing their current fortunes.
Prediction
Based on recent form and statistical models, Alaves emerges as the favorite due to their excellent scoring ability and a more stable back line. The expected goal metrics predict around 1.44 goals for Alaves compared to 0.9 for Valencia. Alaves' coherent team chemistry and attacking philosophy stand them in good stead for exploiting the frailties of the Valencia defense, which continues to attract criticism this season.
Given the considerable disparity between both teams’ current forms and standings, the anticipation is centered on Alaves securing a win against a beleaguered Valencia outfit.
Match info
Tournaments:
La Liga(Regular Season - 6)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio de Mendizorroza, Victoria-Gasteiz
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Alaves
L
W
W
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Alaves | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Atletico Madrid | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Espanyol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Real Sociedad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Levante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Malaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Villarreal | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 19 |  Elche | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Other Football matches
Alaves vs Valencia - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Alaves vs Valencia football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.