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Granada CF vs Las Palmas Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 15-11-2026
Nov 1515:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: Granada CF 2-1 Las Palmas
Granada CFDrawLas Palmas
Over 2.5 goalsYes (60%)
Both teams to scoreYes (58%)
Granada CF host Las Palmas in Segunda División Round 14, with the hosts sitting fifth on 23 points and the visitors tenth on 20. Granada have won 7 of their 12 matches and average 1.67 goals scored against 1.17 conceded. Las Palmas have taken 6 wins from 13 games but are struggling defensively, conceding 1.62 per game on average. The visitors arrive in poor form and face a Granada side that has shown more attacking threat and solidity.
Team form
Granada CF
Granada's recent record is mixed. They won 3-2 away at Real Sociedad II on 4 October but have since lost twice—2-3 to FC Andorra at home and 2-3 at Leganes—with a 1-1 draw at Albacete sandwiched between. Over their last five matches they have scored 8 and conceded 12, a rate of 1.6 and 2.4 per game respectively. The 3-5-2 formation used in their last outing gave them 53% possession and 3.60 expected goals, suggesting they can generate attacking pressure when they impose themselves on a match.
Las Palmas
Las Palmas are in a concerning run. They have lost their last four league games: 0-3 at home to Castellón, 1-3 away to Mallorca, 2-3 at Eibar, and 1-2 at home to Burgos. Only a 2-2 draw with Valladolid on 4 October broke that sequence. Over five matches they have scored just 6 goals and conceded 13, averaging 1.2 and 2.6 per game. Their last outing, a 0-3 loss to Castellón, saw them manage only 37% possession and 0.31 expected goals—a display that underscores their current defensive fragility and lack of attacking cohesion.
Head-to-head
Las Palmas hold the historical advantage, winning three of the last five meetings between the sides. They won 1-0 at home in September 2023 and 2-0 in September 2022, with earlier victories of 5-1 and 4-1 also at home. Granada drew 2-2 away in November 2018 but have not won in this fixture recently. That said, head-to-head records carry less weight than current form, and Granada's recent trajectory is steeper than Las Palmas' downward spiral.
Key factors
Granada's attacking output and defensive record are superior across the season. They have created more chances and conceded fewer goals per match than their opponents. Las Palmas' five-game losing streak and the defensive statistics from their last match—just one shot on goal and minimal expected goals—suggest they will struggle to contain Granada's midfield and attacking play. The 3-5-2 shape Granada deployed last time offers width and attacking numbers, which should exploit Las Palmas' stretched back five. Conversely, Las Palmas' formation is built for compactness, but their recent performances show they are not executing it effectively. Granada's home advantage and current momentum make them the more likely winners.
Prediction
Granada are favourites. They rank higher in the standings, have conceded fewer goals, and are generating more attacking threat. Las Palmas arrive in a slump with four defeats in five games and have shown poor defensive organisation and limited attacking threat in recent outings. The bookmakers price the home win at 1.78, reflecting Granada's advantage. Both teams to score is priced at 1.71, and the underlying pattern suggests Granada will create enough chances to score while Las Palmas, despite their defensive struggles, may grab a goal on the break or from set play. An open game with Granada on top is the most likely scenario.
Back Granada to win. They are the favourite and have the form, structure and home advantage to prevail. The visitors are in freefall and lack the defensive solidity or attacking verve to trouble the hosts consistently. Expect Granada to dominate possession and create the clearer chances, though Las Palmas' defensive vulnerabilities mean they may concede more than one goal.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda División(Regular Season - 14)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Granada CF
W
W
W
W
Las Palmas
W
W
W
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| 3 |  Girona | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 4 |  Burgos | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Sporting Gijon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 |  Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 12 |  Valladolid | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leganes | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Eldense | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 19 |  FC Andorra | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 |
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Granada CF vs Las Palmas - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Granada CF vs Las Palmas football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.