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Expected score: UD Logroñés 2-0 Arenas Getxo
UD Logroñés host Arenas Getxo at Estadio Las Gaunas in Primera División RFEF Group 1 on 15 November. The hosts sit second in the standings with 23 points from 11 games, while Getxo occupy 19th place with 11 points. On paper this looks a mismatch, but recent form tells a more nuanced story — Logroñés have stumbled, while Getxo have found some momentum.
Team form
UD Logroñés
Logroñés have won seven of their 11 league games but the last five matches reveal cracks. They won 3-1 away at Real Avilés and beat Deportivo La Coruña II 2-1 at home, yet lost 1-0 to Mirandes at home and 3-1 away to Lugo. Over those five games they scored 7 and conceded 7 — a drop from their season average of 2.00 scored and 1.27 conceded per game. The home loss to Mirandes is a warning sign; they cannot take Getxo lightly.
Arenas Getxo
Getxo's recent form is genuinely encouraging for a side in the bottom half. They have won two of their last five: 1-0 away at CD Coria and 2-0 at home to UD Ourense. They also drew 1-1 away at Barakaldo. Yes, they lost heavily — 4-0 at home to Mérida AD and 4-1 away to Cultural Leonesa — but the wins show they can compete. Over five games they scored 5 and conceded 9, which is better than their season average of 0.91 scored and 2.09 conceded. They arrive with some confidence.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record strongly favours Logroñés. In five meetings, Logroñés have won three times (5-1 at home in October 2023, 2-1 away in February 2020, 4-0 at home in October 2019) and drawn once (0-0 away in November 2024). Getxo's only win came 2-1 at home in March 2024. Logroñés have the upper hand and know how to break down this opponent.
Key factors
Logroñés' second-place finish masks recent inconsistency — they have dropped points at home and conceded freely on the road. Getxo's defensive record is poor (2.09 conceded per game), yet their recent wins suggest they can be organised. The bookmakers price Logroñés heavily at 1.34, reflecting the gap in quality and league position. Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.49, implying a fairly open game despite Getxo's defensive frailty. Both teams to score is priced at 1.75, a market that remains finely balanced — Getxo have shown they can score in recent weeks, but Logroñés' home record against them is ruthless.
Prediction
Logroñés are strong home favourites and the data supports it. They sit 8 points clear and have won three of five recent games. Getxo are fragile away from home and have conceded 23 goals in 11 league matches. The head-to-head record is one-sided. However, caution is warranted: Logroñés have been vulnerable at home (the Mirandes loss) and Getxo have shown they can score. Expect Logroñés to control the match and create the clearer chances, but Getxo's recent upturn means they should not be written off entirely.
Logroñés are the clear pick at home. The odds of 1.34 reflect a strong favourite, and the underlying form, league position and head-to-head record all point to a home win. Getxo's defensive record and away form make them vulnerable. The over 2.5 goals market at 1.49 offers reasonable value given Logroñés' attacking average and Getxo's leaky defence. Proceed with the home win, but respect that Getxo have won twice recently and could trouble the hosts if Logroñés are not sharp.
Match info
Tournaments:
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio Las Gaunas
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
| 19 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | |
| 20 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 |
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UD Logroñés vs Arenas Getxo - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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