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Valencia W vs Granada Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 15-11-2026
Nov 1517:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: Valencia W 0-1 Granada
Valencia WDrawGranada
Over 2.5 goalsNo (35%)
Both teams to scoreNo (42%)
Valencia W host Granada in Primera División Femenina Round 11 at Estadio Antonio Puchades on 15 November. The hosts sit 16th with 2 wins from 10 games; Granada occupy 11th with 3 wins and 2 draws. Both sides have identical recent output — 4 goals scored and 7 conceded over their last five outings — yet the visitors hold a narrow edge in the standings and carry a favourable head-to-head record into this fixture.
Team form
Valencia W
Valencia W have shown flashes of competence recently, winning their last two league matches: 2-0 away at Deportivo de La Coruña and 2-1 at home to Eibar. Before that, however, they suffered three consecutive defeats without scoring — losses to Atlético Madrid (0-4), Athletic Club (0-1) and Real Sociedad (0-1). Their season average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded reflects a side struggling to find consistency. The home venue offers some encouragement, but their defensive fragility remains a concern.
Granada
Granada's form reads as similarly choppy. They drew 1-1 at home to Atlético Madrid and won 3-2 away at Edf Logrono, but sandwiched between those results were defeats to Barcelona (0-3) and Espanyol (0-1). A goalless draw with Eibar completes a five-game run that mirrors Valencia's output exactly. Granada's season average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded suggests a marginally tighter defensive shape, though both sides leak goals at an alarming rate by top-flight standards.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Granada. Of the last four meetings, Granada have won twice — most recently at home in April 2025 (2-1) and away in October 2024 (0-2). Valencia's sole away victory came in December 2023 (0-1), and their home win in March 2024 (4-1) now looks like an outlier. Granada enter with psychological momentum from that recent home success.
Key factors
Both defences are porous; both attacks are misfiring. Valencia's 1.90 goals conceded per game is the more alarming figure, and Granada's superior recent head-to-head record combined with their marginally tighter defensive average (1.60 vs 1.90) suggests they may edge a low-scoring affair. The visitors' draw record (2 draws in 10 games) hints at their capacity to frustrate, yet neither side has demonstrated the attacking thrust to dominate. Expect a tight, cagey contest where a single goal could decide it.
Prediction
The model rates Granada as the most likely outcome, though the margin is narrow — all three results sit within a 10-point spread. Granada's superior head-to-head form, their fractionally better defensive record, and the marginal edge in expected goals favour the visitors. However, Valencia's recent upturn in results and home advantage keep this genuinely competitive. The predicted scoreline of 0-1 reflects a low-scoring game; the 35.2% probability of over 2.5 goals underscores how defensive this encounter is likely to be.
Granada edge this as the most likely outcome, but only just. Three plausible results cluster tightly: an away win, a draw, and a home win all remain live possibilities. For bettors, the value likely lies in backing low-scoring markets — under 2.5 goals at 64.8% probability — rather than committing heavily to any single result. This is a wide-open fixture where a single moment could swing it either way.
Match info
Tournaments:
Primera División Femenina(Regular Season - 11)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio Antonio Puchades, Valencia
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Valencia W
W
W
L
L
L
Granada
L
D
L
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid W | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 |  Granad. Tenerife W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Madrid CFF W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Athletic Club W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Espanyol W | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad W | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Eibar W | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Deportivo de La Coruña W | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Deportivo Alavés W | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 12 |  Granada | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 13 |  Edf Logrono W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 |  Sevilla W | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 15 |  FC Levante Badalona W | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Valencia W | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 |
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Valencia W vs Granada - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Valencia W vs Granada football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.