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Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 16-09-2026
Sep 1623:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: Once Caldas 1-0 Deportes Tolima
Once CaldasDrawDeportes Tolima
Over 2.5 goalsNo (47%)
Both teams to scoreYes (51%)
In this intriguing matchup of the Primera A — Clausura - 7, Once Caldas hosts Deportes Tolima at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales, promising to be a competitive encounter given the clubs' standings and recent forms. The game is set for September 16, 2026, and both teams are eager to secure vital points for their pursuits in the league.
Team form
Once Caldas
Once Caldas enters the clash sitting fifth in the standings with 33 points, boasting a record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses across their 19 matches. Their offensive output includes 31 goals, averaging 1.63 scored per game, while their defense has conceded 22 goals, reflecting an average of 1.16 per game. In their last five fixtures, they achieved two significant victories against Fortaleza FC (4-2) and Junior (2-1), while drawing two games and experiencing a defeat in a previous face-off against Deportes Tolima (1-2). On the home front, they have demonstrated notable potency, reinforcing their position as a challenging adversary.
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima is closely following in sixth with 31 points, having achieved 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses in the same number of matches. They have scored 27 goals with an average of 1.42 per game and have a commendable defensive record, allowing only 17 goals, averaging 0.89 detailed per game. Their last five outings included a draw with Santa Fe (2-2) and a solid win against Atletico Nacional (1-0), although they also faced a memorable defeat against once again facing Once Caldas. They will look to bounce back in this rematch, stressing the importance of maintaining their resilient shape and seizing scoring opportunities.
Head-to-head
The recent head-to-head record between Once Caldas and Deportes Tolima reflects a keen rivalry, especially with their last five encounters yielding varied results. Once Caldas holds a slight upper hand, winning three of the last five fixtures (including a 2-1 victory earlier in the season back in February 2026), while Tolima emerged victorious in one. The other resulted in a close battle characterized by fluctuating scores, exemplifying the tendency for matches between these sides to favor narrow margins.
Key factors
Key players will be instrumental in determining the outcome of this match. For Once Caldas, the influence of midfielders like J. A. Zapata Ramirez and forward D. Moreno will be crucial, particularly considering their recent form and ability to create goal-scoring chances. On the other hand, Deportes Tolima trust in contributors from their midfield, particularly with J. P. Torres Patino’s recent contributions, alongside reliable defensive performances to limit their opposition's scoring chances. Their ability to maintain possession could also earn them a vital edge in recovering the ball against the opposition's advances.
Prediction
Based on the relative strengths and weaknesses demonstrated in recent fixtures alongside historical encounters, the prediction tilts slightly towards a home victory for Once Caldas. Their consistent offensive output coupled with a solid defense placed in a favorable position at home gives them an edge. The statistics reflect an overall expectation of fewer goals being scored than average, boosting the likelihood of a tight contest rooted in organized defensive setups, and propensity for solitary goal outcomes.
As such, expect Once Caldas to edge out Deportes Tolima in this gripping rivalry.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Once Caldas
L
W
L
W
D
Deportes Tolima
L
W
W
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 33 |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 33 |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
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Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.