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Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 18-09-2026
Sep 1818:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Groningen 2-1 PEC Zwolle
GroningenDrawPEC Zwolle
Over 2.5 goalsYes (65%)
Both teams to scoreYes (62%)
This Eredivisie match sees Groningen host PEC Zwolle at Euroborg on September 18, 2026. Groningen enters the match in ninth place, while PEC Zwolle is struggling at 16th. Both teams arrive with contrasting recent form, which is significant heading into this encounter.
Team form
Groningen
Groningen's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches. They drew 1-1 against GO Ahead Eagles in their most recent fixture but held strong against Twente in a 2-2 draw prior to that. However, they faced tough losses against PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard, signaling defensive vulnerabilities, particularly evident in conceding 2.4 goals per game on average over this period.
PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle has also had a difficult time lately, recording just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. They were heavily beaten 7-0 by Feyenoord in their last outing, an alarming result that underscores defensive frailties. They secured a 2-2 draw against Sparta Rotterdam, though this was preceded by losses against NEC Nijmegen and Twente and a victory over Heerenveen. Their average of 3.0 goals conceded per game indicates significant defensive issues that need addressing.
Head-to-head
Historically, PEC Zwolle has had the upper hand against Groningen in their last five meetings. Zwolle won 3-2 at home in April 2019 and 3-2 again in September 2017, complementing a 1-0 win earlier in 2020. Conversely, Groningen secured a 4-0 home win in November 2016, showing that matchups have been closely contested over the years, with recent history favoring Zwolle.
Key factors
Groningen's attacking strategy often revolves around their midfield playmakers, while Zwolle struggles to maintain possession and convert opportunities. The absence of key players for both teams will influence their respective strengths. Groningen’s ability to score at home contrasts with Zwolle’s known weaknesses away. Notable playmaker performance, particularly from Groningen's P. Clement and the scoring threat of B. Willumsson, which could exploit Zwolle's defensive lines will be crucial in this match.
Prediction
Given the current form and statistical analysis, Groningen emerges as the stronger contender for this fixture. With home advantage and a better overall season average, they are likely to score effectively, especially against a beleaguered PEC Zwolle. The predictive analysis indicates expectations of over 2.5 goals, backed by Groningen's scoring power and PEC Zwolle's defensive lapses. This lean toward a favorable home win is solidified by their consistent scoring, underscored by the recent average of 2.12 expected goals.
In outlook, Groningen is well-positioned to claim victory at Euroborg. With PEC Zwolle reeling from heavy defeats and facing a difficult away challenge, a home win appears the most plausible outcome.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Groningen
D
D
L
L
W
PEC Zwolle
L
D
L
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 |  Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
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Groningen vs PEC Zwolle - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Groningen vs PEC Zwolle football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.