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Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 18-10-2026
Oct 1813:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Brighton 2-0 Crystal Palace
BrightonDrawCrystal Palace
Over 2.5 goalsYes (72%)
Brighton host Crystal Palace at the Amex Stadium in a Premier League clash between a side in excellent form and one struggling to find consistency. The hosts sit third with 13 points from six games, while Palace occupy 12th with just 7 points. This fixture offers a stark contrast in trajectory, with Brighton's attacking prowess and defensive solidity set against Palace's vulnerability at the back.
Team form
Brighton
Brighton have been outstanding. They won 2-0 away at Sunderland on 2026-10-10, extended their unbeaten run with a 3-0 home victory over Arsenal on 2026-09-19, and demolished Coventry 5-0 away on 2026-09-13. Over their last five matches they have scored 14 goals and conceded just 5. Their season averages of 3.00 scored and 0.83 conceded per game underline their status as genuine title contenders. The only blot was a 3-4 loss at Chelsea on 2026-08-30, but they have recovered impressively since.
Crystal Palace
Palace's recent record is mixed. They beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 at home on 2026-10-11, but that masks deeper problems. They drew 0-0 away at Leeds, lost 2-3 at home to Ipswich, and suffered a 1-4 defeat to Manchester City. Over five games they have scored just 9 goals while conceding 10. Their season average of 2.00 conceded per game is a significant concern, and they have won only twice in six league matches. Travelling to an in-form Brighton side represents a stern test.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record shows Brighton with the edge. They won 3-1 at home in December 2018 and 2-1 at home in January 2018. Palace's two victories came away from the Amex—1-0 in February 2020 and 2-0 in May 2013. Brighton have not lost to Palace at home in the available record, a trend likely to continue given their current dominance.
Key factors
Brighton's defensive record is the standout metric. Conceding 0.83 per game is elite level, and Palace's attack—averaging 1.50 goals per game—will struggle to break them down. Conversely, Brighton's 3.00 goals per game should trouble a Palace defence leaking 2.00 per game. Palace's last outing saw them generate 2.42 expected goals with 7 shots on goal, but that came against Nottingham Forest; Brighton's defensive organisation is a different proposition. The bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals market at 1.58, reflecting confidence in an open game, though Brighton's ability to control possession and shut out opponents may keep the total modest.
Prediction
Brighton are clear favourites and the data supports it decisively. They are third-placed, in-form, defensively miserly, and face a Palace side that has conceded heavily and won just twice. Palace's only recent success came at home; away form is a weakness. Brighton's home record and Palace's defensive frailties create a strong case for a comfortable home victory. The bookmakers price a home win at 1.55, reflecting the gap in quality.
Brighton should win this match. They have the form, the defence, and the attacking threat to overwhelm a Palace side struggling for consistency. A home win is the clear favourite, with Palace unlikely to trouble them significantly. For betting purposes, Brighton at 1.55 represents the strongest play, with the match likely to be decided by a margin of at least one goal in the hosts' favour.
Match info
Tournaments:
Premier League(Regular Season - 7)
Referee:
Robert Jones
Stadium
American Express Stadium, Falmer
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Brighton
W
W
W
W
W
Crystal Palace
L
W
L
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
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