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Celta Vigo vs Alaves Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 18-10-2026
Oct 1814:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Alaves
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
Over 2.5 goalsNo (36%)
Both teams to scoreNo (45%)
Celta Vigo host Alaves at the Municipal de Balaídos in La Liga's ninth round, with both sides looking to climb the table from mid-table positions. Celta sit ninth on 8 points, while Alaves occupy seventh with 11 points—a tight margin that makes this a genuine six-pointer. The hosts have shown flashes of quality but remain inconsistent, while the visitors bring a sharper attacking edge into Galicia.
Team form
Celta Vigo
Celta's recent run has been frustratingly patchy. They drew 0-0 away at Elche in their last outing, extending a sequence of four consecutive draws across five games. The one bright spot came against Racing Santander at home, where they produced a dominant 5-0 victory. Over their last five matches, they've scored 7 goals but conceded only 2, suggesting their defence is holding firm even when the attack sputters. Possession has been limited—just 34% in their most recent game—and they managed no shots on target against Elche, a concerning sign of toothlessness in the final third.
Alaves
Alaves have been more volatile. They lost 1-2 at home to Atletico Madrid last time out, a result that masks their attacking potential. Across five games, they've scored 7 goals and conceded 7, showing both ambition and vulnerability. The standout performance came against Osasuna, a 5-2 home victory that demonstrated their capacity to hurt opponents. Their last away outing was a goalless draw with Athletic Club, but they generated 1.13 expected goals against Atletico, suggesting chances are being created even in defeat.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record heavily favours the hosts. In their last five meetings, Celta have won three and drawn none, including two dominant home victories: 6-0 and 2-0 in 2020 and 2017 respectively. Alaves' sole win came away at Balaídos in 2018. This historical advantage should provide Celta with genuine confidence, though recent form suggests neither side is in peak condition.
Key factors
Celta's defensive solidity—0.75 goals conceded per game this season—will be tested by Alaves' more potent attack, which averages 1.50 goals scored per game. The hosts' formation of 3-4-3 offers width and attacking intent, while Alaves' 3-5-2 provides midfield control. Possession will likely favour Alaves, but Celta's home record and historical edge in this fixture cannot be ignored. Alaves' inconsistency—three wins, three losses from eight games—suggests they're capable of both brilliance and collapse.
Prediction
This is a tight contest between two mid-table sides with contrasting trajectories. Celta's home advantage, superior head-to-head record, and recent defensive discipline edge them as the most likely outcome, though Alaves' attacking prowess and superior league position keep this genuinely competitive. The expected goal balance slightly favours the hosts, and a low-scoring affair appears probable given both teams' recent defensive displays.
Celta Vigo are positioned as the most likely winners, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. Alaves bring enough attacking threat to trouble the hosts, and a draw remains a realistic outcome. Expect a cagey, tactical battle where set pieces and moments of individual quality may prove decisive. The match has the hallmarks of a tight, low-scoring affair—a game where one goal could prove decisive.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Celta Vigo
L
D
W
L
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Alaves
L
D
L
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W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
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Celta Vigo vs Alaves - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Celta Vigo vs Alaves football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.