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Fiorentina vs Como Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 18-10-2026
Oct 1813:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Fiorentina 1-2 Como
FiorentinaDrawComo
Over 2.5 goalsYes (66%)
Both teams to scoreYes (64%)
Fiorentina host Como at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A's seventh round, with the visitors arriving as the more likely winner. The hosts sit 19th on 4 points from six games, while Como occupy seventh place with 11 points. This fixture carries real stakes for a Fiorentina side struggling to find consistency, facing an opponent who has built genuine momentum this season.
Team form
Fiorentina
Fiorentina's recent record reads poorly: one win in five, with three defeats. They lost 1-2 at Genoa on 2026-10-10, drew 1-1 at home to Napoli, and won 4-2 away at Venezia — a rare bright spot. Their defensive frailty is the concern: they have conceded 14 goals in six league games, averaging 2.33 per match. In their last outing, they managed only 3 shots on goal despite 63% possession, suggesting they struggle to convert dominance into clear-cut chances. R. Sottil is unavailable due to a back injury, further limiting their attacking options.
Como
Como have won three of their last five games and lost just once in that span. They drew 0-0 at home to AS Roma most recently, but before that recorded victories against Parma (2-1), Genoa (4-1), and Napoli (2-1). Their defensive record is notably tighter: just 6 goals conceded in six games, averaging 1.00 per match. In their last fixture, they created 1.49 expected goals from 4 shots on goal with 66% possession, showing a team that builds play methodically and finishes with purpose.
Head-to-head
Como hold the edge in recent head-to-head meetings. Of the last five encounters, Como have won three times, Fiorentina twice. Notably, Como won three consecutive away fixtures against Fiorentina between November 2024 and September 2025 (2-0, 2-1, 2-0), though Fiorentina did win the most recent meeting in February 2026 (2-1 away). The pattern suggests Como thrive in this fixture, but Fiorentina showed they can trouble them when they get their act together.
Key factors
Como's defensive solidity stands out: they concede just 1.00 per game against Fiorentina's 2.33. The visitors also score more regularly (1.50 to Fiorentina's 1.17 per game). Possession does not guarantee Fiorentina success — they held 63% against Genoa but lost. Como's recent form is superior across the board: three wins in five games, tighter defence, and clinical finishing. Fiorentina's injury to Sottil removes a creative outlet. However, home advantage and the desperation of a side fighting relegation form could yet trouble Como, who have drawn their last two games and may lack killer instinct.
Prediction
Como enter as favourites on the basis of superior recent form, a far sturdier defence, and a head-to-head record that favours them heavily. Fiorentina's defensive vulnerabilities — conceding 2.33 per game — align poorly with Como's attacking efficiency. The visitors' 1.00 goals-conceded average suggests they will not gift Fiorentina easy opportunities. Possession alone has not helped Fiorentina recently; Como's structured approach and clinical finishing make them the more likely winners. A fairly open game is expected, with both sides likely to score, but Como should create the clearer chances and convert them.
Como are the favourites to take the points. Back the away win.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie A(Regular Season - 7)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Fiorentina
L
D
W
W
L
Como
D
L
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
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Fiorentina vs Como - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Fiorentina vs Como football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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