Second Half
Groningen vs Ajax Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 18-10-2026
Oct 1814:45
1 : 3
Match Prediction
Expected score: Groningen 1-2 Ajax
GroningenDrawAjax
Over 2.5 goalsYes (74%)
Both teams to scoreYes (72%)
Groningen host Ajax at the Euroborg in Matchday 9 of the Eredivisie season. Ajax arrive as narrow favourites, sitting fifth in the table with 15 points from eight matches, while Groningen occupy sixth place with 14 points. The visitors have been the more prolific side this season, averaging 2.75 goals scored per game against Groningen's 2.50, though both teams have conceded at similar rates—Ajax at 1.25 per game and Groningen at 1.75.
Team form
Groningen
Groningen have shown real attacking intent in recent weeks. They won 5-1 away at Excelsior on 11 October, following that with a 3-0 home victory over PEC Zwolle. Before those wins, they drew 1-1 away at GO Ahead Eagles and 2-2 at home to Twente. Over their last five matches, Groningen have scored 13 goals and conceded 7, averaging 2.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. That run includes a loss to Fortuna Sittard, but the recent wins suggest they have momentum heading into this fixture.
Ajax
Ajax have been even more prolific. They scored 5 goals in a home win over Willem II on 15 September and 5 more in an away victory at Fortuna Sittard four days later. However, they drew 2-2 at home to Excelsior most recently and lost 1-3 to PSV Eindhoven in early September. Over five matches, Ajax have scored 17 goals and conceded 7, averaging 3.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their attack has been sharper than Groningen's, though defensive solidity has been less consistent.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these sides tilts toward Ajax. In their last five meetings, Ajax have won three times, Groningen once, and they drew once. Groningen's sole victory came at home in January 2020 when they won 2-1, but Ajax have won both away visits since then—1-0 in 2019 and 2-1 in 2018. Ajax also drew 1-1 here in 2017. The pattern suggests Ajax have the upper hand in this fixture.
Key factors
Ajax's superior attacking output this season—3.4 goals per game versus Groningen's 2.6—will be central to this match. However, Groningen's recent form has been strong, and playing at home provides them with an advantage. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.36, reflecting the attacking nature of both sides. Groningen's 51% possession and 9 shots on goal in their last match show they are willing to compete for the ball, while Ajax's 81% possession in their most recent outing underlines their control-based approach. The question is whether Groningen can maintain their recent scoring rate against a visiting side that has conceded only 1.25 goals per game this season.
Prediction
Ajax hold a slight favourite status here. Their superior goal-scoring record, combined with a positive head-to-head record in recent years, gives them a marginal edge. Groningen's home advantage and impressive recent wins cannot be overlooked, but Ajax's consistency and attacking prowess make them marginally more likely to take the points. Both teams have shown they can score, and a fairly open game is expected with both sides capable of finding the net.
Ajax are slight favourites to win at the Euroborg. The visitors' attacking quality and recent form give them a narrow edge, though Groningen's home record and recent momentum mean this should be competitive. Expect goals at both ends.
Match info
Tournaments:
Eredivisie(Regular Season - 9)
Referee:
Dennis Higler
Stadium
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Groningen
W
W
D
D
L
Ajax
L
D
D
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Cambuur | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
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Groningen vs Ajax - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Groningen vs Ajax football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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