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Derio vs Santurtzi Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 20-09-2026
Sep 2018:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Derio 1-0 Santurtzi
DerioDrawSanturtzi
Over 2.5 goalsNo (36%)
Both teams to scoreNo (42%)
As the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 continues, Derio will host Santurtzi on September 20, 2026, in what promises to be a closely contested fixture. Both teams come into this match with varying results from their early-season outings, making this encounter pivotal for their momentum.
Team form
Derio
Derio has struggled to find their scoring boots this season, registering two draws in their first two matches. In their last fixture, they managed a 1-1 draw against San Ignacio, which reflected their ongoing battle to convert chances into goals. Historically, they've averaged only 0.3 goals across their last four matches, while conceding a troubling 1.3 goals per game. With such statistics, they’ll need to find a way to tighten up defensively while also being more clinical in their finishing to turn draws into wins.
Santurtzi
Santurtzi, currently ranked eighth with three points, experienced mixed fortunes early in the season. They showed promise in their last game, beating Durango 2-1, but were less convincing on the road with a loss to Beasain and a prior defeat against Eibar III. The squad displayed some attacking threats, averaging 1 goal per match, yet defensively they’ve conceded 2 goals per game in their recent outings. With an emphasis on bolstering their defense and maintaining scoring efficiency, Santurtzi aims to build on their recent win.
Head-to-head
The recent head-to-head record between these two teams has varied, with their last four encounters showing mixed results: there have been a few low-score draws alongside one victory each. Notably, Derio won their most recent match-up 3-0 in October 2025, but prior to that, they faced strong challenges, illustrated by the 1-1 draw earlier this March. This history indicates neither side has clear dominance, suggesting a competitive match ahead.
Key factors
Key to this game will be Derio's ability to leverage their home crowd advantage alongside Santurtzi’s momentum from their latest win. However, they will have to find alternatives to minimize their defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have yet to establish consistent scoring, but the potential for goals exists, particularly if Derio can improve their ongoing average of 0.5 goals scored per match.
Prediction
Considering that Derio enters as the statistical favorite based slightly on their home advantage and historical tendency to perform well against Santurtzi, we anticipate that could tip the scales in their favor. The prediction outcome considers current form, average goals scored and conceded by both teams, and their recent experiences in previous encounters.
Overall, the analysis leans towards a home victory for Derio, making it a critical match for both clubs aiming to secure points early in the season.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4(Group 4 - 3)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Derio
L
D
D
D
L
Santurtzi
W
L
L
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Sodupe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Beasain | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 |  Real Sociedad III | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |  Aretxabaleta | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 |  Erandio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Santurtzi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 |  R. Union B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 |  San Ignacio | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 |  Leioa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 |  Eibar III | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Derio | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 |  Durango | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 |  Touring | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Lagun Onak | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 |  Pasaia KE | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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Derio vs Santurtzi - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Derio vs Santurtzi football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.