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Cheshunt vs Cray Wanderers Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 20-10-2026
Oct 2018:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Cheshunt 1-2 Cray Wanderers
CheshuntDrawCray Wanderers
Over 2.5 goalsYes (65%)
Both teams to scoreYes (64%)
Cheshunt host Cray Wanderers in Non League Premier - Isthmian action on 20 October 2026. The visitors arrive as narrow favourites despite sitting lower in the table, reflecting their superior attacking output and recent scoring form. This is a fixture where the betting markets see genuine value in backing the away side.
Team form
Cheshunt
Cheshunt have won just one of their last five matches—a 3-1 victory over Lewes on 19 September—but have otherwise struggled, losing twice and drawing twice. Over that five-game stretch they scored 6 goals but conceded 9, averaging 1.2 per game for and 1.8 against. Their season record of 12 goals in 12 matches reflects an attack that has not fired consistently, though their defensive frailty is the more pressing concern. They sit 15th with 15 points from 12 games.
Cray Wanderers
Cray Wanderers have been far more prolific in front of goal. Their last five outings yielded 15 goals scored against 10 conceded—3.0 and 2.0 per game respectively. They won twice, drew once, and lost twice, most recently falling 1-2 at home to Lewes on 10 October. Crucially, they dismantled Maldon & Tiptree 5-1 away on 29 September and beat Welling United 4-1 at home on 31 August, demonstrating they can score in volume. Their season average of 2.11 goals per game ranks them well above Cheshunt's 1.00, and their defensive record of 1.56 conceded per game is also superior.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record strongly favours Cray Wanderers. In their last five meetings, Cray have won three times and drawn once, with only one Cheshunt victory absent from the sequence. Most tellingly, Cray won 2-1 at home as recently as 28 February 2026, and before that 2-1 on 15 February 2025. The pattern is consistent: Cray Wanderers have dominated this fixture, and there is little in the historical record to suggest Cheshunt can reverse that trend.
Key factors
The central dynamic is Cray's attacking superiority against Cheshunt's defensive vulnerability. Cray average 2.11 goals per game to Cheshunt's 1.00, and Cheshunt concede 1.25 per game compared to Cray's 1.56. Cray's recent five-game run shows they can score freely—15 goals in five matches—while Cheshunt have been inconsistent, managing only 6 in the same span. Cheshunt's home advantage is their only structural asset, but it has not been decisive; they drew with St Albans and Whyteleafe at home in August and September. Cray's away record, though not explicitly detailed, is supported by their head-to-head dominance at Cray's ground and their general offensive potency.
Prediction
The model rates Cray Wanderers as a slight favourite at 52.2% to win, with Cheshunt at 27% and the draw at 20.8%. This reflects Cray's superior goal-scoring rate, their dominance in the head-to-head, and Cheshunt's defensive leakiness. The expected goals balance favours the visitors, and both teams are forecast to score in a fairly open game. The predicted scoreline of 1-2 aligns with Cray's attacking prowess and Cheshunt's tendency to concede.
Back Cray Wanderers to win. The visitors hold a narrow edge in a match where the markets have correctly identified their attacking advantage and Cheshunt's defensive frailty. Cray's recent form, their superior goal-scoring average, and their commanding head-to-head record all point to an away victory. The match looks likely to be competitive, but Cray should have enough quality to edge it.
Match info
Tournaments:
Non League Premier - Isthmian(Regular Season - 14)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Cheshunt
D
W
W
D
W
Cray Wanderers
D
L
W
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 |
| 2 |  Welling United | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 |
| 3 |  Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 |  Dartford | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 |  Carshalton Athletic | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 |  Ramsgate | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 |  Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 |  Chatham Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Burgess Hill Town | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 |  St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Wingate & Finchley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 13 |  Whyteleafe | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 14 |  Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cheshunt | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 16 |  Aveley | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 17 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
| 18 |  Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 19 |  Brentwood Town | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 20 |  Three Bridges | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 21 |  Whitehawk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 22 |  Stanway Rovers | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 |
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