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Stevenage vs Plymouth Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 20-10-2026
Oct 2018:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Stevenage 1-1 Plymouth
StevenageDrawPlymouth
Over 2.5 goalsYes (57%)
Both teams to scoreYes (62%)
Stevenage host Plymouth at Lamex Stadium in League One's 12th round, with the visitors sitting fourth and the hosts in 12th. Plymouth arrive as the stronger league side on paper, but Stevenage's recent form has been volatile—they've mixed impressive wins with frustrating losses, while Plymouth have shown consistency without dominance. This is a match where neither team can be confidently backed.
Team form
Stevenage
Stevenage's last five games tell a story of extremes. They demolished Barnsley 5-1 away and beat Luton 2-1 at home, yet lost 0-1 to Leyton Orient most recently and drew 0-0 at Peterborough. Over those five matches they scored 9 and conceded 5, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.0 against—strong attacking numbers undermined by defensive lapses. For the season, they've managed 1.33 goals per game and conceded 1.11, holding 12 points from nine matches. They operate in a 4-4-1-1 shape under A. Revell, with D. Kemp and B. Broggio providing midfield drive and J. Magennis leading the line.
Plymouth
Plymouth sit fourth with 19 points from 11 games, scoring 1.64 per match and conceding 1.27. Their recent form is steadier but not commanding: they won 2-0 at Bradford, drew 1-1 at Wycombe, and suffered defeats to Leicester (0-2) and Stockport County (1-3). Over five games they've scored 8 and conceded 7. Tom Cleverley's 4-4-2 setup leans on H. White and R. Curtis in midfield, with W. Evans and B. Ibrahim in attack. They're the better-ranked side in the league but haven't shown the kind of form that makes them a standout threat on the road.
Head-to-head
The two sides have met five times in recent history. Their most recent encounter, in January 2026, ended 1-1. Plymouth won away in 2020 (1-2) and 2016 (1-2), while Stevenage took home wins in 2015 against Plymouth (2-1 and 1-0). The head-to-head is competitive and offers no clear pattern.
Key factors
Stevenage's home record and recent attacking potency will be crucial—they've scored freely in patches and will back themselves at Lamex. Plymouth's league position and defensive discipline make them dangerous, but they've been vulnerable on the road. Both teams have shown they can both score and concede; Stevenage's 53% possession in their last match suggests they'll look to control play, while Plymouth's 34% possession in theirs hints at a more compact approach. The midfield battle between Stevenage's Kemp and Broggio against Plymouth's White and Curtis could determine tempo and space.
Prediction
The model sees this as a tight contest with both teams capable of creating chances. Stevenage's home advantage and recent attacking form give them a lean, but Plymouth's league position and consistency are real. Both sides have shown they can score and concede in recent weeks, pointing to an open game. The expected goals are nearly level, and the top predicted scores cluster around 1-1, 2-1 and 1-2—all close affairs. This is a match too close to separate, with the pick resting on a marginal lean rather than any clear superiority.
Stevenage are backed as the lean, but this is a dead-heat contest. Plymouth's quality and league standing make them a genuine threat, while Stevenage's home form and attacking threat cannot be dismissed. Both teams should create chances, and a draw remains very much in play. Expect a competitive, fairly open game where either outcome is credible.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Stevenage
W
W
W
L
Plymouth
W
D
W
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 |  Huddersfield | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 4 |  Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Oxford United | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Leyton Orient | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 |  Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 15 |  AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 16 |  Luton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 17 |  Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 21 |  Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 22 |  Bromley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 23 |  Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
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Stevenage vs Plymouth - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Stevenage vs Plymouth football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.