Second Half
Puebla vs Monterrey Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 22-10-2026
Oct 2201:00
1 : 4
Match Prediction
Expected score: Puebla 0-0 Monterrey
PueblaDrawMonterrey
Over 2.5 goalsNo (32%)
Both teams to scoreNo (42%)
Puebla host Monterrey at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc in Liga MX Apertura matchday 13, with both sides sitting in the lower half of the table and hungry for points. The hosts occupy 11th with 16 points from 12 games, while Monterrey sit 12th on 14 points from 10 matches. This is a fixture where neither team can afford to drop points, yet both have shown the kind of inconsistency that makes predicting the outcome genuinely difficult.
Team form
Puebla
Puebla's recent record is a mixed bag. They lost 0-1 at home to Toluca on matchday 12, then suffered a 0-2 defeat away at Club America. Before that, though, they showed character with back-to-back wins: a 3-2 home victory over Santos Laguna and a 3-2 away win at Pachuca. Over their last five outings they've scored 8 and conceded 10, averaging 1.6 goals for and 2.0 against. In their last match, Puebla managed just 43% possession and 2 shots on goal, suggesting they've been playing a more reactive game under Gerardo Espinoza's 4-4-2 setup.
Monterrey
Monterrey's recent form is more encouraging. They've won three of their last five, including victories over Nashville SC (2-1) and Inter Miami (2-1) in the Leagues Cup, though they did lose 1-2 to Orlando City. Their season average shows 1.70 goals scored per game and 1.50 conceded—both superior to Puebla's metrics. Matias Almeyda's 3-3-1-3 formation has been possession-dominant; in their last outing they held 58% of the ball with 5 shots on target. That attacking threat, spearheaded by players like H. Cuypers and D. Rossi, gives them an edge in transition.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record slightly favours Monterrey. In their last five meetings, Monterrey have won twice (3-1 in 2020, 3-2 in 2019) and drawn twice (0-0 in 2019, 1-1 in 2016), with Puebla's sole victory coming away in 2018 (3-1). Monterrey's home record against this opponent is particularly strong, though playing at the Cuauhtémoc does alter the dynamic.
Key factors
Possession and shape will be crucial. Monterrey's 3-3-1-3 is built to control the tempo and create numerical advantages in midfield, but Puebla's 4-4-2 is compact and can be difficult to break down on their own ground. Puebla's defensive record at home—they conceded 1.08 per game on average this season—suggests they're not easy to crack. Monterrey's attacking quality is real, yet Puebla have shown they can score when given space. The key will be whether Monterrey can dominate possession without being caught on the counter, and whether Puebla can stay organised enough to frustrate their visitors.
Prediction
Both teams are evenly matched on current form and league position. Puebla have defensive solidity at home but lack consistent attacking output. Monterrey bring superior possession and goal-scoring averages, yet their away record this season shows vulnerability. The head-to-head leans slightly Monterrey's way, but not decisively. This is a fixture where the margins are razor-thin—neither side has a clear tactical or form advantage that would justify backing one outcome over another.
This match is too close to call. The draw is the lean here, reflecting how evenly balanced these two sides are. Expect a cagey affair with limited clear-cut chances; both teams will be wary of defeat given their league positions. A low-scoring draw feels like the most probable outcome, though the balance of play could produce a narrow result either way.
Match info
Tournaments:
Liga MX(Apertura - 13)
Referee:
Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas
Stadium
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Puebla
D
D
L
D
L
Monterrey
W
D
W
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 3 |  Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 |  Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Club Queretaro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 |  Club Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 14 |  Tigres UANL | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 15 |  Atlante FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 16 |  CF Pachuca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 |
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Puebla vs Monterrey - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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