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Clermont Foot vs Guingamp Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 23-10-2026
Oct 2318:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Clermont Foot 1-1 Guingamp
Clermont FootDrawGuingamp
Both teams to scoreYes (57%)
Clermont Foot host Guingamp at Stade Gabriel Montpied in Ligue 2 Round 10, a fixture between two mid-table sides struggling to build momentum. Clermont sit 16th with 7 points from 9 games; Guingamp are 13th on 8 points. Both teams have leaked goals consistently this season, and recent form suggests neither has found a reliable formula. The bookmakers see this as a toss-up, with the away side priced marginally shorter.
Team form
Clermont Foot
Clermont's last five matches tell a story of defensive fragility masking occasional attacking threat. They drew 3-3 at Laval, lost 2-3 at home to RED Star FC 93, and drew 1-1 away at Grenoble. Over those five games they scored 7 but conceded 8. In their most recent outing against Laval they managed only 36% possession and 0.92 expected goals, yet still found the net three times — a sign that when they do attack, they can be clinical, but they cannot sustain it. Their season average of 1.33 goals conceded per game is a red flag for a team desperate for points.
Guingamp
Guingamp's record is marginally better on paper but no more convincing in execution. They lost 0-1 away at Nancy most recently, then 1-3 at home to RED Star FC 93. Before that came a 2-1 win at Annecy and a 2-2 draw at Reims. Over five games they scored 8 but conceded 10 — a worse defensive ratio than their hosts. In their last match they managed 46% possession but only 0.5 expected goals and 2 shots on target. They are leaking 1.67 goals per game on the season, the worst defensive record of the two.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is mixed and spans a long timeline. Guingamp won 3-1 at home in March 2025, but Clermont won 5-0 away in 2021 and 2-1 away in 2019. A 0-0 draw in 2013 and a 3-1 Guingamp win in 2012 complete the picture. Recent history favours Guingamp, but the 2021 scoreline suggests Clermont can dominate when they click. Neither team should take confidence from these meetings.
Key factors
Both defences are porous, so expect chances at both ends. Clermont's attacking players showed spark against Laval despite low possession, while Guingamp's away form has been poor — they have won only twice in nine league games. Clermont's home record is not strong either: they drew 0-0 at home to Boulogne and lost 2-3 to RED Star FC 93 at Stade Gabriel Montpied. Set pieces and transitions may decide this; neither side has shown the control to dominate open play. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.68, reflecting the defensive vulnerabilities on display.
Prediction
The model leans toward an away win, but only marginally — the top two outcomes are separated by just 1 percentage point. Guingamp's slight edge in league position and recent head-to-head form nudge them ahead, yet Clermont's home advantage and attacking potential in the last outing keep this extremely tight. Expected goals are nearly level, and the goals market is finely balanced. The predicted score is 1-1, reflecting the defensive shakiness and attacking inconsistency of both teams.
This match is too close to separate. The lean is toward Guingamp, but the gap is razor-thin and Clermont's home venue should not be discounted. Back the away win only if you value the marginal edge; a draw is equally plausible. Both teams will likely score given their defensive records, but the total goals market is finely balanced — exercise caution before committing to either side of that line. This is a game for cautious punters or those seeking value in the draw at 3.27.
Match info
Tournaments:
Ligue 2(Regular Season - 10)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Clermont Foot
D
L
L
D
D
Guingamp
L
L
W
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Reims | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 |  RED Star FC 93 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Nancy | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 |  PAU | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Metz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Annecy | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 |  Dijon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 |  Sochaux | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Guingamp | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Nantes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Clermont Foot | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rodez | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 18 |  Laval | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
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Clermont Foot vs Guingamp - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Clermont Foot vs Guingamp football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.