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Granada CF vs Valladolid Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 23-10-2026
Oct 2318:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Granada CF 1-0 Valladolid
Granada CFDrawValladolid
Over 2.5 goalsYes (56%)
Granada CF host Valladolid in Segunda División Regular Season Round 11, with the hosts holding a narrow edge in the betting markets. Granada sit seventh on 17 points after ten matches, while Valladolid occupy thirteenth place with 12 points. This fixture offers a chance for the home side to consolidate their mid-table position against a visiting team still searching for consistency.
Team form
Granada CF
Granada have shown mixed recent form. They won 3-2 away at Real Sociedad II on 2026-10-04, but that victory was sandwiched between defeats: a 2-3 home loss to FC Andorra and a 2-3 away loss to Leganes. Over their last five matches, Granada have scored 8 goals but conceded 12, averaging 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded per game. Their season-long record is more encouraging—1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per match—suggesting their recent defensive struggles may be temporary. Manager José Rojo Martín typically deploys a 3-5-2 formation, which provides defensive stability while allowing width through the midfield.
Valladolid
Valladolid's recent trajectory is sharper. They won 5-0 at home against Albacete on 2026-10-12, a commanding display that showcased their attacking potential. However, they followed that with a 2-3 home defeat to Eldense, indicating inconsistency. Over five matches, Valladolid have scored 13 goals and conceded only 7, posting 2.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game—a strong attacking record. Fran Escribá's 4-1-3-2 system is built to support attacking play, with three midfielders operating ahead of a defensive shield. This structure has yielded results in their wins but left them vulnerable when things go wrong.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record slightly favours Granada. In their last five meetings, Granada won twice at home (4-0 in 2014 and 2-1 in 2020), drew once (1-1 in 2013), and lost once away (0-3 in 2020). Valladolid's sole victory came on the road. Home advantage has historically worked in Granada's favour in this fixture.
Key factors
Granada's defensive vulnerability—conceding 2.4 goals per game recently—will be tested by Valladolid's attacking momentum, particularly their 2.6 goals-per-game average. Conversely, Valladolid's defence has been tighter (1.4 conceded per game), but Granada's season average of 1.60 scored suggests they should create opportunities. The tactical contrast is clear: Granada's wing-based 3-5-2 offers width and defensive numbers, while Valladolid's 4-1-3-2 prioritises attacking thrust. Possession may favour Valladolid—their last match saw 57% possession—but Granada's home record and recent win suggest they can be dangerous on the counter.
Prediction
Granada hold a slight favourite status, supported by home advantage and a favourable head-to-head record. The model suggests a close contest with Granada marginally more likely to take the points. Both teams possess attacking threat—Valladolid's recent form is sharper, but Granada's season average and familiar surroundings count in their favour. The expected goal balance leans toward the hosts, though Valladolid remain capable of scoring. This is a competitive fixture rather than a mismatch.
Back Granada to win. They are a slight favourite at home, with tactical setup and historical advantage supporting their case. Valladolid will test them, but Granada should edge a fairly open contest. The match looks likely to feature goals at both ends, making it an engaging encounter for neutral viewers.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Granada CF
W
W
W
L
L
Valladolid
L
W
D
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 |
| 2 |  Castellón | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| 4 |  Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Girona | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Granada CF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Eldense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Celta de Vigo II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 16 |  Las Palmas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
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Granada CF vs Valladolid - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Granada CF vs Valladolid football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.