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Pineto vs Gubbio Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 23-10-2026
Oct 2318:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Pineto 1-0 Gubbio
PinetoDrawGubbio
Over 2.5 goalsNo (37%)
Both teams to scoreNo (43%)
Pineto host Gubbio in Serie C - Girone B on 23 October, a clash between two sides struggling in the lower reaches of the standings. Pineto sit 15th with 11 points from 10 games, while Gubbio languish in 19th with just 7 points. The hosts have shown recent resilience with a 2-0 win over Reggiana, but both teams carry defensive fragility into this encounter at the Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani.
Team form
Pineto
Pineto's last five matches reveal an inconsistent picture: they beat Reggiana 2-0 but lost 0-4 at home to Grosseto and 0-1 away to Guidonia Montecelio. Two draws against Campobasso (2-2) and Forli (1-1) bracket the defeats. Over this run they have scored 5 and conceded 8, averaging 1.0 and 1.6 per game respectively. The 2-0 victory three days ago suggests some attacking intent, though their season average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded indicates they remain a modest force in both phases.
Gubbio
Gubbio's form is markedly worse. They have won just once in their last five—a 3-1 home victory over Latina—and have lost three of the other four, including 0-2 defeats to Ravenna and Ostia Mare. A 1-3 reverse at Perugia and a 1-1 draw at Pescara complete the picture. Over these five games they have scored 5 but conceded 9, averaging 1.0 and 1.8 per game. Their season-long defensive record of 2.00 goals conceded per match is the more alarming statistic, suggesting they will struggle to contain a Pineto side that, despite modest output, may find space.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Gubbio in recent meetings, having won three of the last five encounters. However, Pineto's two victories both came at home: a 2-1 win in May 2026 and a 1-0 triumph in December 2025. Gubbio's three wins include two away successes (1-2 in August 2026 and October 2024) and one at home (1-2 in January 2024). The pattern suggests Pineto have the edge on their own ground, though Gubbio have shown they can trouble the hosts.
Key factors
Pineto's home record and recent momentum from the Reggiana win offer tactical encouragement, yet their vulnerability to conceding—1.10 per game on average—against a Gubbio side that has scored in three of their last five matches creates a scenario where both teams may find the net. Gubbio's defensive frailty (2.00 conceded per game) is stark, but Pineto's modest attacking output (0.80 scored per game) means they cannot be relied upon to run up a large margin. The visitors' desperation, sitting bottom of the group, may paradoxically sharpen their focus, though their form suggests they lack the quality to impose themselves.
Prediction
Pineto hold a slight favourite status given home advantage, recent form, and a superior league position. The hosts should create the clearer chances, and their 2-0 win over Reggiana hints at attacking capability when it clicks. Gubbio's defensive record makes them vulnerable to conceding, yet their ability to score—they have netted in most recent outings—means a low-scoring home win is not assured. The tactical balance points to a fairly open game, with Pineto marginally more likely to edge it but far from certain to do so.
Pineto are narrow favourites to win, though the margin between the three outcomes remains tight. A home victory appears most probable, but draws and away wins retain meaningful chances. Expect a competitive, low-scoring affair where defensive solidity may prove decisive.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie C - Girone B(Girone B - 11)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Pineto
D
W
L
L
D
Gubbio
L
L
L
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 4 |  Reggiana | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 |  Livorno | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Perugia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Pescara | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Torres | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Latina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Vado | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 |  Atalanta II | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Campobasso FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Forli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Pineto | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 16 |  Ostia Mare | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 17 |  Pianese | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 18 |  Sambenedettese | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 19 |  Gubbio | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
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Pineto vs Gubbio - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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