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Expected score: VfB Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga Regular Season Round 7 at the MHPArena. Stuttgart sit 13th with 6 points from six matches, while Mönchengladbach remain winless at the foot of the table with zero points. The visitors' dismal start—six consecutive defeats in the league—leaves them vulnerable, though Stuttgart's own inconsistency means caution is warranted.
Team form
VfB Stuttgart
Stuttgart showed promise with a 2-0 away win at Paderborn on 10 October, generating 2.45 expected goals and 8 shots on target. That victory ended a run of three straight defeats. Over their last five matches, they have scored 8 goals and conceded 9, averaging 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The hosts' season average of 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded reflects a side struggling for consistency, though they have won twice and avoided defeat at home.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Mönchengladbach's league form is alarming. They have lost all six Bundesliga matches so far, conceding 20 goals while scoring only 8. Their season average of 1.33 scored and 3.33 conceded per game underscores a defence in freefall. Their last league outing, a 3-4 home loss to Elversberg on 5 September, saw them create just 2.36 expected goals from 6 shots. Recent non-league fixtures—friendlies and a cup win—offer little reassurance about their competitive readiness.
Head-to-head
The historical record heavily favours Mönchengladbach. In their last five meetings, Mönchengladbach won four times, with three of those victories by 2-0 scorelines at home. The only exception was a 1-1 draw in August 2014. However, that record dates back to 2018; current squads bear little resemblance to those teams, and Mönchengladbach's present league form is drastically worse than when they dominated Stuttgart previously.
Key factors
Stuttgart's home record and Mönchengladbach's defensive fragility are the decisive elements. The visitors have conceded 20 goals in six league games—an average of 3.33 per match. Stuttgart's attack, while inconsistent, should find opportunities against a backline that has shipped goals at an alarming rate. Stuttgart's 49% possession and 8 shots on target in their last match suggest they can control play. Mönchengladbach's lack of a league win and their inability to keep clean sheets make them heavy underdogs, despite their historical edge over Stuttgart.
Prediction
Stuttgart are clear favourites. The bookmakers price a home win at 1.38, reflecting Stuttgart's superior current form, home advantage, and Mönchengladbach's catastrophic league record. Over 2.5 goals is heavily favoured at 1.26 odds, and both teams to score sits at 1.43, suggesting an open game where Stuttgart's attack should prevail while Mönchengladbach, despite their struggles, may find the net against a defence that has conceded 10 goals in six matches. The expected goal balance tilts decisively toward the hosts.
Stuttgart should win this match. Mönchengladbach's winless run and leaky defence make them vulnerable, while Stuttgart's home record and recent victory provide momentum. A fairly open game is likely given both sides' attacking tendencies, but the hosts' superiority in form and fixture context makes them strong favourites to take three points.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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