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AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 24-08-2026
Aug 2418:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: AS Roma 1-0 Fiorentina
AS RomaDrawFiorentina
Over 2.5 goalsYes (50%)
Both teams to scoreNo (48%)
AS Roma takes on Fiorentina in an intriguing Serie A match on August 24, 2026, at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Both teams are eager to start the season on a strong note, but recent performances suggest contrasting fortunes as they head into this encounter.
Team form
AS Roma
AS Roma has struggled to find consistency in their recent matches, drawing twice, losing twice, and securing a win in their last five outings, averaging 2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game. This season opener offers an opportunity for them to kickstart their campaign and improve on defense, as securing points early will be crucial given their current league standing at 16th place.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina arrives in decent form, fresh from a 4-1 victory against Benevento in their last match. Overall, they have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and a loss in their past five games, scoring an average of 2 goals while conceding just 1.4. Their 5th position in the league standings indicates a strong squad intent on continuing where they left off from the previous season.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these two sides shows notable results in their last five meetings. Fiorentina demolished AS Roma 7-1 in January 2019. In a more balanced view, two of the matches ended in draws, signifying competitive encounters, whereas AS Roma clinched victory in the last individual meeting with a score of 4-2 in 2017. Analyzing past games reveals occasional dominance from Fiorentina, even as the teams exhibit fluctuating performances throughout the years.
Key factors
Team selections may significantly affect the game's flow. AS Roma will feel the absence of Lorenzo Pellegrini due to a thigh injury, which could stifle their creativity in midfield and limit attacking threats, while Fiorentina is missing three significant players, including Filippo Parisi and Riccardo Sottil, both crucial to their formation and capabilities. This could impact Fiorentina’s tactical setup, although deep squad options might help mitigate these losses.
Prediction
Given the average expected goals placements — 1.82 for AS Roma and 0.86 for Fiorentina — it leans more favorably towards the home side. While both teams have prowess in offense, AS Roma's home advantage and Fiorentina's potential defensive vulnerabilities create a competitive dynamic that suggests Roma could secure a narrow win, especially considering they will be keen to capitalize on Fiorentina's absentees.
Overall, AS Roma is expected to prevail in this encounter. With the odds moderately favoring them and the upcoming season giving both teams additional motivation, their collective determination to correct past mistakes should result in a promising performance at home.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
AS Roma
D
L
W
L
D
Fiorentina
W
D
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Como | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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AS Roma vs Fiorentina - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert AS Roma vs Fiorentina football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.