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Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 24-10-2026
Oct 2413:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Cagliari 0-0 Bologna
CagliariDrawBologna
Over 2.5 goalsNo (30%)
Both teams to scoreNo (38%)
Cagliari hosts Bologna in Serie A's eighth round at the Unipol Domus, a fixture that pits a mid-table side riding recent turbulence against a struggling visitor with defensive fragility. The bookmakers have priced this as a genuine three-way contest, with the away win marginally favoured in the market but all three outcomes trading within a narrow band. For fantasy league players, the volatility here demands careful squad construction.
Team form
Cagliari
Cagliari's recent trajectory is erratic. They drew 1-1 with Juventus on home soil, then suffered a catastrophic 0-4 defeat at Monza five days before this fixture—a result that will weigh heavily on morale. Before that collapse, they had won three consecutive matches, including victories over Atalanta (2-1 away) and Udinese (1-0 away). Over their last five games, they have scored 5 and conceded 6. They sit seventh in the table with 13 points from 7 matches, averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. The defensive solidity they showed earlier in the season appears to have fractured.
Bologna
Bologna's campaign has been a struggle. They occupy 15th place with just 5 points from 7 matches, winning only once. Their last outing saw them lose 1-3 at home to Inter, a result that exposed their defensive vulnerabilities. They did secure a 2-1 away victory at Lecce beforehand, but that remains an outlier in a season marked by inconsistency. Over five games, they have scored 6 but conceded 8—an alarming differential. They average 0.86 goals scored but 1.43 conceded per game, suggesting structural problems at the back that persist regardless of opponent quality.
Head-to-head
Historical meetings favour Bologna decisively. In their last five encounters, Bologna won three and drew once, with Cagliari never victorious. Bologna's home record against Cagliari is particularly strong: they won 2-0 in 2019, 2-1 in 2016, and 1-0 in 2014. The sole draw came in 2017. However, this match is played at Cagliari's ground, which shifts the context considerably.
Key factors
Cagliari's defensive frailty following the Monza debacle is the defining concern. Bologna's inability to tighten their backline—conceding 1.43 per game—creates an opening for the hosts to exploit, yet Cagliari's own leakiness (1.00 conceded) means neither side can afford complacency. Bologna's midfield, anchored by Pobega and supported by Bernardeschi, offers technical quality but lacks the defensive discipline to shield their vulnerable rearguard. Cagliari's possession advantage at home should theoretically help, but recent form suggests confidence may be fragile. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 55%, reflecting mutual attacking potential offset by defensive concern.
Prediction
Expected goals favour neither side—the model projects 0.92 for Cagliari and 1.00 for Bologna, a marginal difference in a low-scoring affair. The top three predicted scorelines cluster around 0-0, 0-1, and 1-0, indicating a tight, cautious contest where set pieces or individual errors may decide matters. Bologna's away record is poor, yet Cagliari's recent collapse and defensive instability create genuine uncertainty. The over 2.5 goals market is priced at 46%, but the model suggests only a 30% probability, signalling the bookmakers are overestimating scoring potential. This is a match where defensive discipline will likely prevail.
This fixture is too close to separate. The primary lean falls to Bologna as the away pick, but the margin is negligible—all three outcomes cluster within a narrow band. For fantasy players, exercise caution: Cagliari's defensive frailty makes them vulnerable despite home advantage, while Bologna's attacking potential remains blunted by their structural problems. A low-scoring draw or a single-goal victory either way represents the most probable outcome. The under 2.5 goals market offers better value than the over.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Cagliari
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D
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Bologna
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 |  Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
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Cagliari vs Bologna - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Cagliari vs Bologna football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.