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Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 24-10-2026
Oct 2422:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Fluminense
Chapecoense-scDrawFluminense
Over 2.5 goalsYes (60%)
Both teams to scoreYes (60%)
Chapecoense-sc host Fluminense at Arena Condá in Serie A Round 32, a matchup that pits the league's basement dweller against a side firmly planted in the top five. The hosts sit 20th on 18 points with a goal difference of -32, while Fluminense occupy fifth with 51 points and a +10 differential. This is a fixture where the quality gap translates directly into the betting markets: Fluminense are priced as favourites at 1.86, with the hosts at 3.98 and the draw at 3.52.
Team form
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense's recent run has been dire. Over their last five matches they have scored just once and conceded nine times, averaging 0.2 goals for and 1.8 against per game. Their most recent outing saw them lose 0-2 away at Bahia on 17 July. Season-wide, they average 1.00 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per match—a stark illustration of their relegation-form struggles. The defensive frailty is the core issue; they have shipped 62 goals across 30 games.
Fluminense
Fluminense have been far more productive. Over their last five games they scored 10 and conceded 7, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.4 against. They won three of those five, including a 3-1 home victory over Corinthians and a 1-0 win at Atletico-MG. Their season average of 1.58 goals scored and 1.26 conceded reflects a side operating at a different level. The 1-1 draw away at Coritiba on 4 April was their most recent fixture.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record over five meetings is mixed but slightly favours Chapecoense at home. They won 2-0 in 2017 and 2-1 in 2015, both at Arena Condá, but Fluminense won 2-1 away in 2018. Two draws complete the sequence. However, this historical context carries limited weight given the gulf in current form and league position.
Key factors
Fluminense's possession-dominant approach—they averaged 67% in their last outing—should dominate proceedings. Chapecoense's 35% possession average and 0.41 expected goals in their last match suggest they will be reactive and under sustained pressure. Fluminense's midfield, anchored by Martinelli and K. Serna with attacking thrust from PH Ganso and Y. Soteldo, should find space against a Chapecoense side that has conceded 2.07 per game. The hosts' only realistic path is a set-piece opportunity or a counter-attack, but their 1.00 goals-per-game average offers little hope of a productive day in front of goal.
Prediction
The betting markets price Fluminense as favourites, and the underlying numbers justify it. Fluminense have won 14 of 31 games and sit fifth; Chapecoense have won just 3 of 30 and are rooted to 20th. The expected goals favour the visitors significantly. Chapecoense have conceded in four of their last five matches, and Fluminense have scored in four of theirs. Both teams to score is priced at 1.71, reflecting the likelihood that Fluminense will break through while Chapecoense may snatch a goal despite their struggles. The over 2.5 goals line at 1.83 is fairly attractive given Fluminense's attacking intent and Chapecoense's defensive vulnerabilities.
Fluminense are the favourites to win. They should control possession, create the clearer chances, and exploit a Chapecoense side in freefall. A Fluminense victory with both teams scoring is the likeliest scenario, though the hosts' desperation and home advantage mean they cannot be entirely ruled out of a goal.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Chapecoense-sc
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Fluminense
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 67 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 66 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 37 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 18 |
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Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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