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SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 24-10-2026
Oct 2413:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07DrawHamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07 hosts Hamburger SV in a Bundesliga Regular Season matchday 7 encounter at the Home Deluxe Arena. Paderborn sits 16th with 5 points from six games, while Hamburg occupies 9th with 9 points. Both sides have shown inconsistency, but Hamburg's recent form edges ahead with three wins in their last five outings.
Team form
SC Paderborn 07
Paderborn drew 2-2 away at Werder Bremen on 2026-10-17 after a goalless loss to Stuttgart. Their season has been marked by defensive fragility: they concede 1.50 per game on average and have shipped nine goals in six matches. Offensively, they average 0.83 goals per game. In their last five fixtures, they scored 5 and conceded 9. The 3-1 home win over Hoffenheim stands as their sole victory this season, suggesting they can trouble opponents but lack consistency.
Hamburger SV
Hamburg won 1-0 at home against Stuttgart on 2026-10-17 and have claimed three victories in their last five games, including a 3-2 away win at Hoffenheim. However, defensive solidity remains elusive: they concede 2.50 per game on average and have allowed 15 goals across six matches. Over their last five games, they scored 6 but conceded 13. The 5-0 defeats to Leipzig and Mainz expose their vulnerability, though recent results suggest they can be effective on the counter.
Head-to-head
The teams have met five times since 2014. Paderborn won 3-0 away in 2014 and 2-1 away in 2022. Hamburg won 3-1 at home in 2021 and 1-0 at home in 2018. Their most recent meeting in May 2023 ended 2-2. The head-to-head record shows no clear pattern, with both sides capable of success in either venue.
Key factors
Paderborn's defensive record is a primary concern against a Hamburg side that has shown attacking intent in recent weeks. Hamburg's own backline remains porous, conceding at a rate significantly higher than Paderborn's. Possession and control favour neither team decisively: Paderborn held 39% in their last outing while Hamburg managed 34%. The bookmakers price over 2.5 goals at 1.58, suggesting an expectation of a fairly open contest. Both teams to score is priced at 1.49, reflecting the vulnerability in both defences.
Prediction
Paderborn hold a slight edge as the home side, supported by their recent draw against a strong Bremen outfit and their one convincing win this season. Hamburg's attacking form is encouraging but their defensive frailties remain pronounced. The model suggests Paderborn are marginally more likely to take the points, though the margin is narrow. Hamburg's counter-attacking threat and recent wins mean they cannot be discounted, but Paderborn's home record and the bookmaker odds favour the hosts. The over 2.5 goals market sits close to the toss of a coin and remains too close to call.
Back SC Paderborn 07 as a slight favourite to win. The hosts' home advantage, combined with Hamburg's defensive inconsistency, tilts the balance toward Paderborn, though only marginally. Expect a competitive match with chances at both ends.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
SC Paderborn 07
D
L
W
W
L
Hamburger SV
W
W
W
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 |  SV Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 |  RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 15 |  FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
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SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.