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Barakaldo vs Real Avilés Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 27-09-2026
Sep 2710:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Barakaldo 1-0 Real Avilés
BarakaldoDrawReal Avilés
Over 2.5 goalsNo (48%)
Both teams to scoreYes (52%)
As Barakaldo prepares to host Real Avilés at Campo de Lasesarre on September 27, 2026, both teams find themselves looking to secure three vital points in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1. With nearly identical standings, this matchup will be crucial for each side's aspirations for the season.
Team form
Barakaldo
Barakaldo's recent form has been challenging. In their last five outings, they secured only one victory, losing three and drawing one. They managed to score just two goals while conceding five. Overall this season, they've averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per game. Their last match ended in a disappointing 0-1 loss against Racing Ferrol, showing a nuanced struggle to convert chances into goals. Nevertheless, having achieved a home win against Extremadura just before that, they hope to replicate that success against Avilés on familiar ground.
Real Avilés
Conversely, Real Avilés has shown a more balanced record in their recent fixtures. With a mix of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, they have seen a moderate scoring average of 1.25 goals per game compared to 1.25 conceded. In their most recent outing against CD Coria, they settled for a 1-1 draw, illuminating potential opportunities for improvement. Having shown the capacity to find the net consistently, with five goals in four matches, their attacking play will be critical in gaining an edge over Barakaldo.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head encounters add an intriguing layer to this matchup. In the last three games between these two teams, Real Avilés has emerged ahead both in scorelines and confidence. Avilés won twice, scoring four goals in each of those victories, while Barakaldo managed only a single win against Avilés in their most recent encounter. The psychological edge favoring Avilés should not be overlooked as they aim for a repeat performance.
Key factors
Key factors will encompass Barakaldo's defensive vulnerabilities versus Avilés' attacking strength. Barakaldo's weakened offense this season may be under scrutiny due to their struggles in consistently putting the ball in the back of the net. On the other hand, Avilés showcases an array of attacking options, which have made it possible to maintain a decent scoring average despite setbacks. The challenge will be for Barakaldo to contain this threat while also improving upon their own scoring deficiency.
Prediction
Given the context of current form and head-to-head records, it is reasonable to predict Barakaldo might edge this matchup. While their home ground should add an element of familiarity and support, expectations need to be tempered by their scant goal haul thus far. However, backed by intense motivation to shift their fortunes and the potential edge they have over Avilés based on previous games, a closely fought contest might occur, with Barakaldo hoping to seize pivotal momentum in their season.
Ultimately, Barakaldo appears poised to secure the narrowest of victories in what should be a fundamentally contested encounter, based on prevailing performance patterns.
Match info
Tournaments:
Primera División RFEF - Group 1(Group 1 - 5)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Barakaldo
L
W
L
D
L
Real Avilés
D
W
L
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Athletic Club II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 |  UD Logroñés | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Cultural Leonesa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Real Unión | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Mirandes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Pontevedra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Ponferradina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Zamora | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Racing Ferrol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 |  CD Coria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Avilés | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Mérida AD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Extremadura 1924 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 19 |  Arenas Getxo | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 |  UD Ourense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
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Barakaldo vs Real Avilés - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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