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Bologna vs Monza Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026
Oct 3114:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Bologna 1-0 Monza
BolognaDrawMonza
Bologna host Monza in Serie A's tenth round, with the home side looking to build on a recent away victory at Cagliari. Both teams occupy the lower half of the table, but their trajectories differ sharply. Bologna sit 13th with 8 points from eight matches; Monza are 15th with 7 points. The visitors arrive on the back of a heavy defeat to Torino, while the hosts showed defensive solidity in their last outing. This is a fixture where neither side can afford to drop points if they harbour ambitions of climbing the standings.
Team form
Bologna
Bologna have won their last two matches, beating Cagliari 2-0 away and Lecce 2-1 before that. However, their season remains inconsistent: they lost 1-3 to Inter at home in mid-October and fell 0-1 to Napoli in September. Over their last five games, they have scored 6 and conceded 6 — a balanced but unconvincing record. Possession in their most recent match stood at 43%, suggesting they are not dominating play, yet they managed 5 shots on goal and 1.64 expected goals. Their defensive record this season is concerning: they have conceded 10 goals in 8 matches, averaging 1.25 per game. Coach Raffaele Palladino's 3-4-3 formation offers attacking width but leaves them vulnerable at the back.
Monza
Monza's recent form is erratic and troubling. They lost 2-3 to Torino last time out, surrendering a lead in the process. Before that, they hammered Cagliari 4-0 at home — a rare bright spot. Yet they have also lost to Lazio (1-3) and Lecce (2-3) in their last five outings. Over that span, they scored 11 goals but conceded 10, painting a picture of a side that creates chances but cannot defend consistently. Their last match saw just 49% possession and only 3 shots on goal with 0.6 expected goals, indicating a passive display. Season-wide, Monza average 1.88 goals scored but 2.25 conceded per game — an alarming defensive vulnerability. Under Igor Juric, they operate a 3-4-2-1 shape that has not yet stabilized their backline.
Head-to-head
Bologna hold a slight edge in recent head-to-head meetings. In their last five encounters, Bologna have won twice (2-1 away in 2024, 2-1 away in 2022) and drawn twice (0-0 in both 2024 and 2023), while Monza have won once (1-0 away in 2023). The pattern suggests Bologna are more comfortable in this fixture, though neither side has dominated decisively.
Key factors
Bologna's recent defensive solidity — they kept a clean sheet at Cagliari — contrasts with Monza's leaky backline. However, Bologna's attacking output remains modest at 1.0 goals per game over the season. Monza, despite their defensive frailties, do score more regularly (1.88 per game) and could exploit Bologna's vulnerability on the counter. The midfield battle will be crucial: Bologna's experience in that area may give them control, but Monza's attacking intent from wide positions cannot be ignored. Set pieces could prove decisive given both sides' defensive uncertainties.
Prediction
Bologna hold a narrow edge. They are the slight favourite, backed by superior recent form, a home advantage, and a better head-to-head record. Their defensive display at Cagliari suggests they can contain Monza's threat, while their midfield should control possession. Monza's inconsistency and defensive fragility — conceding 10 goals in five matches — work against them. However, this is not a comfortable fixture for Bologna: Monza's attacking threat is real, and they have shown they can score freely when given space. Both sides have shown they can find the net in recent weeks, making a low-scoring home win the most likely outcome, though a draw or a tighter scoreline remains plausible.
Bologna are slight favourites to win, but this match carries genuine uncertainty. The bookmakers price the home win at 1.76, reflecting Bologna's marginal advantage. For first-time viewers, this is a good example of a tight mid-table clash where form, home advantage, and recent defensive records matter more than star names. Neither side is convincing, but Bologna's trajectory is fractionally better. Expect a cautious, competitive affair rather than a spectacle.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie A(Regular Season - 10)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Bologna
W
W
L
W
D
Monza
L
W
L
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 11 |  Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
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Bologna vs Monza - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Bologna vs Monza football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.