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FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026
Oct 3114:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: FC Augsburg 2-1 SC Freiburg
FC AugsburgDrawSC Freiburg
Over 2.5 goalsYes (75%)
Both teams to scoreYes (73%)
FC Augsburg host SC Freiburg at the WWK Arena in a Bundesliga matchup between two sides with contrasting trajectories. Augsburg sit ninth with 9 points from seven games, while Freiburg occupy third place with 13 points. The visitors arrive as the stronger league performers, yet Augsburg's home record and recent resilience make this a genuinely competitive fixture.
Team form
FC Augsburg
Augsburg have drawn their last two matches — 1-1 against Union Berlin most recently and 2-2 against Bayern München before that. Over their last five games they have scored 10 and conceded 12, averaging 2.0 goals for and 2.4 against. The pattern shows a side that creates chances and stays competitive but struggles defensively. Their 69% possession and 1.91 xG in the Union Berlin draw suggest they controlled that game without converting dominance into victory.
SC Freiburg
Freiburg have lost their last two outings — 1-3 to Bayern München on 2026-10-25 and 1-2 at Bayer Leverkusen the week before. However, their underlying record across five games reads well: 11 goals scored, 8 conceded (2.2 and 1.6 per game). They beat FC Schalke 04 2-1 and demolished Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-0 earlier in that sequence. The recent defeats mask a side that defends more reliably than Augsburg and has genuine attacking threat.
Head-to-head
Freiburg hold a commanding historical edge. In their last five meetings, Freiburg won four times, including a 5-1 demolition at home in 2019 and three consecutive 2-0 victories. Augsburg's sole win came away in 2014, finishing 4-2. That record suggests Freiburg have the tactical measure of their opponents, though home advantage and current form shifts can reshape such patterns.
Key factors
Augsburg's possession-based approach under Markus Baum will test Freiburg's defensive shape, but Freiburg's superior league position and tighter backline — conceding 1.29 per game versus Augsburg's 1.86 — offer structural advantage. Both sides have shown they can score: Augsburg average 2.43 per game, Freiburg 2.29. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.42, reflecting genuine attacking potential from each. Augsburg's recent draws suggest they are hard to break down at home; Freiburg's away form in the last two matches raises questions about consistency on the road.
Prediction
The model identifies this as a tight contest with a slight edge to the home side. Augsburg's possession dominance at the WWK Arena, combined with their unbeaten run at home (two draws), gives them real hope. Freiburg arrive as the stronger league side but have stumbled away from home recently. Expected goals favour Augsburg marginally, and the fixture carries the hallmarks of an open game where both defences will be tested. The predicted scoreline of 2-1 reflects a competitive match where the home side edges it, though the top-score cluster around 2-2 and 1-2 shows genuine uncertainty.
This is a finely balanced encounter. Augsburg hold a slight edge at home, supported by recent form and possession tendencies, but Freiburg's superior league standing and defensive record make them a credible threat. Expect goals from both sides — the over 2.5 market and both teams to score both carry strong appeal. For bettors, the home win offers value given the odds, but the draw and away win remain live possibilities in what shapes as a fairly open game.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
FC Augsburg
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SC Freiburg
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
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FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.