Rubin vs Fakel Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026

Oct 3112:15
Rubin

Not Started

Fakel
Match Prediction

Expected score: Rubin 1-0 Fakel

45%
35%
20%
RubinDrawFakel
Over 2.5 goalsNo (37%)

Rubin host Fakel at Ak Bars Arena in Kazan for Round 13 of the Russian Premier League. The hosts sit 11th with 12 points from 12 games, while Fakel languish in 16th on just 6 points. This is a clash between a mid-table side looking to climb and a struggling visitor fighting relegation.

Team form

Rubin

Rubin have been inconsistent this season—2 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses—but their recent friendlies show promise. They won 2-0 against Krylia Sovetov and drew 0-0 with Spartak Moscow, though they lost 1-2 to Orenburg. Over the season they average 1.00 goal scored and 1.50 conceded per game. They've conceded 18 goals in 12 matches, so defensive solidity remains a concern despite the recent clean sheet.

Fakel

Fakel's record is dire: just 1 win, 3 draws and 8 losses. They've shipped 20 goals in 12 games—an average of 1.67 per match—which is alarming. However, their pre-season friendlies paint a different picture. They beat FC Rostov 3-1 and won 5-1 against Zhenys, suggesting they may have found some attacking rhythm. They drew 1-1 with Akron most recently. With only 0.67 goals scored per game this season, they'll struggle to trouble Rubin's defence.

Head-to-head

The head-to-head favours Rubin decisively. In their last five meetings, Rubin have won twice (2-0 away in August 2024 and 1-0 at home in November 2023), with two draws and one heavy loss to Rubin (4-4 in January 2022). Rubin's record away at Fakel is particularly strong—they won 1-0 in September 2023. Fakel have not beaten Rubin in recent memory.

Key factors

Rubin's home advantage is real, and they hold the superior league position. Fakel's defensive frailty—conceding 1.67 per game—will be tested by a Rubin side that, despite their own defensive issues, should create chances. Fakel's attacking output of 0.67 goals per game suggests they will struggle to score, especially away. The bookmakers price Rubin as a slight favourite at 2.03, reflecting their edge. The under 2.5 goals market is heavily favoured at 1.57, indicating expectations of a tight, low-scoring affair.

Prediction

Rubin hold a narrow edge. They are stronger defensively than Fakel in league play, have the better recent head-to-head record, and enjoy home advantage. Fakel's league form is poor and their away record gives little hope. While Fakel's pre-season friendlies suggest they may score, their season average of 0.67 goals per game is too low to expect them to trouble Rubin consistently. The model favours a home win with a likely 1-0 scoreline, reflecting Rubin's slight favourite status and the expectation of a low-scoring game.

Back Rubin as a slight favourite. They should edge this contest, though Fakel's recent friendlies mean they are not without hope. For fantasy purposes, Rubin's attacking players offer better value than Fakel's, given the hosts' superior league position and head-to-head dominance. The under 2.5 goals market looks the safer option given both sides' recent form and the low-scoring trend in this fixture.

Match info

Tournaments:

Premier League(Regular Season - 13)

Referee:

No information

Stadium

Ak Bars Arena, Kazan

Statistics

Odds Comparison

Recent Form

Rubin
L
L
L
L
D
Fakel
D
L
W
W
L

Injuries & Suspensions

Lineups

Standings

#TeamMPWDLGFGAGDPTS
1
Zenit
1290327131427
2
Dynamo
128131912725
3
CSKA Moscow
127412112925
4
FC Krasnodar
126512014623
5
Spartak Moscow
1272321101123
6
FC Orenburg
123721412216
7
FC Rostov
124351317-415
8
Krylia Sovetov
123631717015
9
Baltika
123541513214
10
Dinamo Makhachkala
124171623-713
11
Rubin
122641218-612
12
Akron
122641521-612
13
Lokomotiv
122551616011
14
Akhmat
122551517-211
15
Rodina Moskva
122371327-149
16
Fakel
12138820-126
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