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Southport vs AFC Telford United Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026
Oct 3115:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Southport 1-1 AFC Telford United
SouthportDrawAFC Telford United
Southport host AFC Telford United in a National League North clash where both sides will be hunting for three points to climb the table. The hosts sit 23rd with 10 points from 13 games, while Telford occupy 17th with 16 points from 14 matches. This is a fixture where recent form tells contrasting stories, and the head-to-head record adds an intriguing layer to proceedings.
Team form
Southport
Southport are struggling badly. Their last five outings have yielded just one win—a 4-1 home victory over Bedford Town—but that bright spot is heavily overshadowed by three defeats and a draw. They shipped 11 goals across those five games while scoring only 7, averaging 2.2 conceded per match. The 5-1 hammering at Scarborough Athletic and back-to-back 0-1 defeats to Spalding United and Hereford suggest defensive fragility and a lack of attacking penetration. For a side chasing momentum, the trend is decidedly downward.
AFC Telford United
AFC Telford United have been more measured in their approach. Over the same five-game window, they recorded one win, two draws and two defeats, conceding just 6 goals while scoring 5. Their 1-0 victory at Scarborough Athletic showed they can grind out results, and draws against Hednesford Town and Merthyr Town demonstrate resilience. The 1-2 loss to Morecambe and 0-1 defeat at Bedford Town are blemishes, but overall their defensive discipline—1.43 goals conceded per game across the season—is markedly superior to Southport's 1.77.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Southport heavily. In their last five meetings, Southport have won three times and drawn twice, never losing. Most recently, in February 2022, Southport won 3-0 away at Telford. However, history can be a false friend in football; current form and league position matter more, and Telford's steadier recent trajectory suggests they will not be easy prey.
Key factors
Southport's defensive vulnerabilities are the defining issue. Conceding 23 goals in 13 games is alarming for any side, and Telford's measured attacking approach—1.00 goals per game across the season—could exploit gaps. Conversely, Southport's home record may provide some comfort; they beat Bedford 4-1 at this ground. Telford's away form is respectable but not dominant. The match hinges on whether Southport can tighten their backline and whether Telford can convert their superior discipline into a road victory.
Prediction
This is a tight contest that could go either way. Southport hold a psychological edge from their head-to-head record and the home advantage, but Telford's more compact recent form and superior defensive record make them credible visitors. Both teams average 1.00 goal scored per game across the season, suggesting a low-scoring affair. The expected goal balance is nearly level, and the likeliest outcomes cluster tightly together. This is genuinely too close to separate; the pick leans marginally toward the hosts on home soil and historical precedent, but Telford remain live underdogs.
Back Southport as a lean rather than a confident pick. The hosts' head-to-head dominance and home advantage make them the marginal choice, but expect a cagey, low-scoring game. A draw remains very much in play, and Telford's defensive solidity means this will not be a comfortable afternoon for the hosts. For fantasy league purposes, exercise caution with attacking assets from both sides; defensive stability and set-piece opportunities may prove more valuable than open play chances.
Match info
Tournaments:
National League - North(National League North - 15)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Southport
D
L
L
D
AFC Telford United
W
D
W
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oxford City | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 3 |  South Shields | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| 5 |  Chester | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 |  Buxton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bedford Town | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Hednesford Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 |  King's Lynn Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 |  Morecambe | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 |  Chorley | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 12 |  Worksop Town | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 13 |  Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 14 |  Spalding United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Marine | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 17 |  AFC Telford United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Merthyr Town | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
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Southport vs AFC Telford United - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Southport vs AFC Telford United football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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