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Spennymoor Town vs Chorley Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026
Oct 3115:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Spennymoor Town 1-2 Chorley
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
Over 2.5 goalsYes (79%)
Both teams to scoreYes (73%)
Spennymoor Town host Chorley in National League North on 31 October, a fixture that pits the division's bottom-half struggle against a mid-table side in form. Spennymoor sit 24th with just 7 points from 13 games, while Chorley occupy 11th with 20 points—a 13-point gulf that reflects the gulf in recent performance. This is a match where the visitors arrive as the favourite, and the numbers back that assessment.
Team form
Spennymoor Town
Spennymoor's season has been a grind. Over their last five games, they have won once, drawn once, and lost three times, scoring only 4 goals while conceding 13. That 2.6 goals-per-game concession rate is alarming and speaks to defensive fragility. Their season average of 0.92 goals scored and 2.08 conceded compounds the picture: they are not creating enough and are being picked apart too easily. The one draw came at home against Hednesford Town; otherwise, they have lost to Hereford, Bedford Town, Oxford City, and Scarborough Athletic. Confidence will be low.
Chorley
Chorley have found their rhythm. In their last five outings, they have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once, scoring 8 goals and conceding only 6. That 1.2 goals-per-game defensive record is solid, and their 1.6 per game going forward shows an attack with teeth. Recent wins over Scarborough Athletic and Marine, plus draws with Brackley Town and Merthyr Town, suggest a side settling into their level. Season-wide, they average 1.77 goals scored and 1.62 conceded—a positive goal difference that underpins their league position.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Chorley emphatically in recent years. In the last five meetings, Chorley have won twice (both away, in October 2024 and December 2023, both by 2-1 and 2-0 margins), drawn once, and lost twice. Spennymoor's two victories came at home in 2023 and 2022, but Chorley's away record against this opponent—winning their last two visits—suggests they travel with genuine confidence and know how to handle Spennymoor's setup.
Key factors
Spennymoor's defensive frailty is the headline concern. Conceding 2.08 per game invites a Chorley attack that has scored in four of their last five matches. Chorley's discipline—two draws in their recent five—shows they can manage games and do not panic, which matters when facing a desperate home side. Spennymoor will need to be compact and clinical on the counter; they have little margin for error. Chorley's away form, especially the recent wins at Marine and the head-to-head advantage, gives them a psychological edge. The visitors' defensive solidity will be tested, but Spennymoor's creativity issues mean Chorley should not be overrun.
Prediction
Chorley are the favourite here, and rightly so. The 13-point league gap is no accident. Spennymoor have conceded 27 goals in 13 games; Chorley have conceded 21 in the same span and score more consistently. Chorley's recent away form, combined with their head-to-head record and superior season metrics, points to a visiting win. Spennymoor's sole strength—playing at home—is undermined by their defensive record. A Chorley victory is the most likely outcome, with both sides likely to score given Spennymoor's leaky defence and Chorley's attacking intent.
Chorley are favourites to win. Expect an open contest with goals at both ends, though the visitors should have enough quality to secure three points.
Match info
Tournaments:
National League - North(National League North - 15)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Spennymoor Town
L
L
L
L
W
Chorley
W
L
L
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oxford City | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 3 |  South Shields | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| 5 |  Chester | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 |  Buxton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bedford Town | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Hednesford Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 |  King's Lynn Town | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 |  Morecambe | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 |  Chorley | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20 |
| 12 |  Worksop Town | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 13 |  Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 |
| 14 |  Spalding United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Marine | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 16 |  Harborough Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 17 |  AFC Telford United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Brackley Town | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Merthyr Town | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 15 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
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Spennymoor Town vs Chorley - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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