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Expected score: Worthing 2-1 Sutton Utd
Worthing host Sutton United at Sussex Transport Community Stadium in National League Regular Season Round 16. The hosts are backed by the bookmakers as favourites, with odds of 1.72 reflecting their stronger league position and recent domestic form. This is a match between a mid-table side looking to consolidate and a struggling visitor seeking points to climb away from the relegation zone.
Team form
Worthing
Worthing sit fifth in the National League with 28 points from 15 games, boasting a goal difference of +10. Their season average stands at 2.13 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game — a solid attacking return paired with reasonable defensive discipline. Recent form shows mixed results: they beat Wealdstone 1-0 at home but lost 2-3 away at Tamworth and 1-2 at home to Forest Green. However, they recovered with a 3-2 away win at Carlisle. Over their last five matches, they have scored 10 goals and conceded 7, averaging 2.0 per game offensively and 1.4 defensively. This volatility suggests they can both create and be vulnerable.
Sutton Utd
Sutton United occupy 16th place with 18 points from 14 games and a concerning goal difference of -6. Their season average of 1.07 goals scored per game is well below Worthing's, though their defensive record of 1.50 conceded is marginally better. Remarkably, their recent form contradicts their league position: they have won four of their last five matches, including victories over Hartlepool (2-1), Altrincham (1-0), and Woking (3-0). Over these five games, they scored 11 goals and conceded just 4, averaging 2.2 per game offensively and 0.8 defensively. This recent upturn suggests they may be finding their rhythm, though their underlying season statistics remain weak.
Head-to-head
The teams last met in January 2017, when Sutton won 3-2 at home and the sides drew 2-2 away at Worthing. Both matches were competitive and goal-heavy, though these fixtures predate the current squads significantly and carry limited predictive weight.
Key factors
The central tension is between Worthing's superior league standing and Sutton's impressive recent form. Worthing's home advantage at Sussex Transport Community Stadium and their fifth-place finish suggest they should control the match, yet Sutton's recent run of four wins in five games indicates they are performing above their season average. Bookmaker odds reflect this: Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.61 (62% implied), and Both Teams to Score at 1.59 (63% implied), signalling expectation of an open, attacking contest. Worthing's attacking potency (2.13 per game) should trouble Sutton's weak season defence, but Sutton's recent defensive solidity (0.8 conceded in their last five) and improved attacking output (2.2 per game recently) offer them genuine hope of scoring.
Prediction
Worthing are the favourite based on league position, home advantage, and season-long consistency. However, Sutton's recent form — particularly their defensive improvement and four consecutive wins — makes them a genuine threat. The data suggests a competitive match with goals at both ends. Worthing should edge this contest, but Sutton's current trajectory means they are unlikely to be overwhelmed.
Back Worthing as the favourite to win. The hosts' league position and home advantage support a home victory, yet expect a fairly open game with both sides capable of scoring. The bookmakers' pricing of Over 2.5 Goals at 1.61 and Both Teams to Score at 1.59 reflects genuine attacking potential from both sides, particularly given Sutton's recent offensive surge.
Match info
Tournaments:
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 41 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 31 | |
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29 | |
| 4 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 28 | |
| 7 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | |
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21 | |
| 12 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 21 | |
| 14 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | |
| 16 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18 | |
| 17 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18 | |
| 18 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 | |
| 19 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | |
| 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 15 | |
| 21 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | |
| 22 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | |
| 23 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | |
| 24 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 |
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Worthing vs Sutton Utd - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Worthing vs Sutton Utd football prediction on bettinglike.top combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.