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Expected score: Proin Sevilla 32-31 Puerto Sagunto
Proin Sevilla hosts Puerto Sagunto in Liga ASOBAL on 1 November 2026, a matchup between two mid-table sides separated by just one point in the standings. Sevilla sits tenth with 4 points from seven games, while Sagunto occupies ninth with 5 points. Both teams are searching for consistency, making this a pivotal encounter in the Spanish top division.
Team form
Proin Sevilla
Proin Sevilla has endured a difficult recent spell, losing three of their last five Liga ASOBAL matches. They fell 33-37 away to Torrelavega on 25 October, 29-31 at home to Granollers on 18 October, and 33-38 away to CD Bidasoa Irun on 10 October. However, they showed resilience earlier in the month with consecutive wins: 35-34 away at Nava on 3 October and 37-36 away at Cuenca on 26 September. Over their last five games, Sevilla has averaged 33.4 goals scored but conceded 35.2 per game, indicating a defensive vulnerability that has cost them dearly.
Puerto Sagunto
Puerto Sagunto's recent form is mixed but slightly more stable. They drew 27-27 away at Villa de Aranda on 24 October, then secured an impressive 39-24 home victory over Nava on 17 October. However, they have also stumbled: losing 18-22 at home to Horneo Alicante on 9 October, 32-36 away at La Rioja on 3 October, and 30-37 away at Atlético Valladolid on 27 September. Crucially, Sagunto's defensive record is markedly better than Sevilla's. Over their last five matches, they have conceded exactly 29.2 goals per game while scoring 29.2, showing a more balanced profile.
Head-to-head
These teams have no recorded head-to-head history in the available data, so this encounter offers no direct precedent to guide expectations.
Key factors
The decisive factor here is defensive stability. Sevilla's leaky backline—conceding 35.2 per game over five matches—contrasts sharply with Sagunto's tighter unit. Sagunto's ability to keep scorelines close, evidenced by their draw and their balanced scoring-to-conceding ratio, suggests they can frustrate Sevilla's attack. Conversely, Sevilla's occasional offensive spark (37 and 35 goals in their two wins) shows they can score when clicking. The home advantage typically favours Sevilla, but Sagunto's recent draw on the road indicates they travel without fear.
Prediction
The model rates this as a tight affair with Sevilla holding a slight edge at home. The predicted scoreline of 32-31 reflects the narrow margin separating these teams: both are capable of scoring in the low-to-mid 30s, but Sevilla's home court advantage and Sagunto's defensive discipline create a finely balanced contest. The 50.9% probability for a Sevilla win versus 44.1% for Sagunto underscores how marginal the difference is. A draw remains possible but unlikely at just 5% probability, suggesting one side will find a crucial goal.
Proin Sevilla emerges as a slight favourite in this Liga ASOBAL encounter, but the margin is razor-thin. Expect a close, competitive match where defensive discipline will prove as important as attacking flair. For betting purposes, this is a game where the odds reflect genuine uncertainty—a narrow home win is most likely, but Sagunto's defensive solidity makes them a credible threat to upset or at least secure a share of the points.
Match info
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Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 3 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 3 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
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Proin Sevilla vs Puerto Sagunto - Handball Prediction & Betting Tips
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