Uniwersytet Warszawski W vs SMS ZPRP Lublin W Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026

Nov 815:00
Uniwersytet Warszawski W

Not Started

SMS ZPRP Lublin W
Match Prediction

Expected score: Uniwersytet Warszawski W 29-28 SMS ZPRP Lublin W

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Uniwersytet Warszawski WDrawSMS ZPRP Lublin W

Uniwersytet Warszawski W host SMS ZPRP Lublin W in an I Liga Women encounter that pits two evenly matched sides separated by just two points in the standings. Warsaw sit fifth with 5 points from four games, while Lublin occupy fourth with 7 points. Both teams have won twice and lost twice, setting up a fixture where the margin between them remains razor-thin.

Team form

Uniwersytet Warszawski W

Uniwersytet Warszawski W come into this match off the back of a narrow 28-27 victory over UMCS Lublin W at home, a result that halted a two-game losing streak. Before that win, they fell to Agrykola Warszawa 26-32 and Lodz 30-33, both defeats at home. Across their last three outings, Warsaw have scored 28.0 goals per game but conceded 30.7, revealing a defensive vulnerability that has cost them in tight contests. The home side's attacking output remains respectable, yet their inability to tighten up at the back has been the defining feature of their recent form.

SMS ZPRP Lublin W

SMS ZPRP Lublin W arrive in better recent shape, having won two of their last three matches. They defeated Bialystok 26-25 away and Rzeszow 36-29 away, though they suffered a heavy 19-30 loss to JKS Jaroslaw at home. Over the same three-game window, Lublin have averaged 27.0 goals scored and 28.0 conceded, showing greater defensive discipline than their hosts. Their away record in this sequence stands at two wins from two, suggesting they travel with confidence and a more stable defensive foundation.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings between these sides are on record, meaning both teams enter without the benefit of historical patterns or familiarity from prior encounters.

Key factors

The decisive factor here is defensive solidity. Warsaw's leaky backline—conceding 30.7 per game recently—will be tested by a Lublin side that has shown it can score consistently on the road. Conversely, Lublin's tighter defence (28.0 conceded per game) should provide a framework to frustrate Warsaw's attack. Warsaw's home advantage is real, yet Lublin's superior away form and slightly better defensive record suggest they are equipped to exploit any lapses. The margin between these teams is marginal; both are capable of scoring in the high 20s, and both have shown they can be breached.

Prediction

The model identifies this as a close contest with Warsaw holding a slight favourite's edge at home. The expected goal tallies are nearly level—Warsaw projected at 28.84, Lublin at 28.26—reflecting how tightly matched these teams are in attacking potential. Warsaw's home advantage tips the balance marginally in their favour, yet Lublin's superior recent form and defensive stability mean they remain a genuine threat. A low-scoring draw remains possible given the defensive patterns, but the slight lean toward the hosts reflects the value of playing at home in a fixture where both sides are separated by minimal margins.

Uniwersytet Warszawski W are slight favourites to take the points, though this is a match where the outcome could easily swing either way. Expect a tight, competitive affair in which both teams will have opportunities to score. Lublin's away form and defensive discipline make them dangerous opponents, but Warsaw's home court should provide just enough of an edge to edge this one.

Match info

Tournaments:

Type

League

Statistics

Odds Comparison

Recent Form

Uniwersytet Warszawski W
W
L
L
SMS ZPRP Lublin W
W
W
L

Standings

#TeamMPWLPTS
1
Bukowsko Dopiewski W
65115
2
Zielona Gora W
44012
3
Truso Elblag W
44012
4
Koszalin W
5329
5
SMS ZPRP Plock II W
4226
6
KS Poznan W
5143
7
ZPRP Kalisz W
5143
8
Gniezno II W
4133
9
Wabrzezno W
5050
1
Zgoda Ruda Slaska W
66018
2
Ruch Chorzow II W
55015
3
Krapkowice W
64212
4
Zabrze W
64212
5
Swiebodzice W
64212
6
Grunwald Ruda Slaska W
7349
7
Kobierzyce II W
7349
8
Pietrowice Wielkie W
6246
9
Slask Wroclaw W
7256
10
Jelenia Gora W
7256
11
Kepno W
6246
12
Zaglebie Lubin W
7163
1
JKS Jaroslaw W
55015
2
Rzeszow W
64212
3
Agrykola Warszawa W
54111
4
SMS ZPRP Lublin W
4227
5
UMCS Lublin W
5236
6
Lodz W
5236
7
Uniwersytet Warszawski W
4225
8
AZS AWF Warszawa W
6245
9
Bialystok W
6062
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