Puerto Sagunto vs CD Bidasoa Irun Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 14-11-2026

Nov 1418:00
Puerto Sagunto

Not Started

CD Bidasoa Irun
Match Prediction

Expected score: Puerto Sagunto 30-29 CD Bidasoa Irun

51%
44%
Puerto SaguntoDrawCD Bidasoa Irun

Puerto Sagunto host CD Bidasoa Irun in Liga ASOBAL on 14 November 2026, a fixture that pits a struggling mid-table side against the competition's second-placed outfit. Sagunto sit 12th with 5 points from 8 games, while Bidasoa Irun occupy 2nd place with a perfect 8-0 record and 16 points. On paper, the gulf in league position is stark, yet the betting market sees genuine opportunity for the hosts.

Team form

Puerto Sagunto

Puerto Sagunto have shown flashes of competence despite their poor standing. They drew 27-27 away at Villa de Aranda in late October and secured a 39-24 home victory over Nava the week before, demonstrating they can compete when conditions align. However, three losses in their last five outings — to Horneo Alicante (18-22), La Rioja (32-36) and Atlético Valladolid (30-37) — reveal defensive fragility. Over these five games, Sagunto averaged 29.2 goals scored and 29.2 conceded, a perfectly balanced ledger that masks inconsistency in execution.

CD Bidasoa Irun

CD Bidasoa Irun arrive unbeaten in Liga ASOBAL with three consecutive league wins. They beat Villa de Aranda 39-32, edged Morrazo Cangas 33-32 in a tight contest, and dominated Nava 35-25 at home. Their recent Supercopa Iberica campaign saw defeats to Porto (25-32) and Sporting (29-31), but those came in a different competition and appear not to have dented their league form. Across their last five outings, Bidasoa Irun averaged 32.2 goals scored and 30.4 conceded — a more convincing attacking profile than their hosts.

Head-to-head

No head-to-head record exists between these sides in the available data, so this meeting offers no historical precedent to guide expectations.

Key factors

Bidasoa Irun's unbeaten league record and second-place finish suggest a well-drilled, consistent outfit. Yet Sagunto's home draw against Villa de Aranda and victory over Nava show they are capable of raising their game at their own ground. The betting market's narrow confidence (51% for a Sagunto win) reflects genuine uncertainty: Bidasoa Irun are the stronger side on paper, but Sagunto's home advantage and recent glimpses of form create legitimate doubt about an away victory. The expected goal balance — 30.7 for the hosts, 30.1 for the visitors — is remarkably tight, hinting at a close, competitive encounter rather than a runaway result.

Prediction

The model identifies Sagunto as a slight favourite at home, a verdict that rewards their ground advantage and recent competitive displays while acknowledging Bidasoa Irun's superior league standing and unbeaten record. The predicted scoreline of 30-29 underscores how marginal this contest appears: two evenly matched attacks with little to separate them. Bidasoa Irun's away record in the league remains untested by defeat, but Sagunto's ability to score freely at home (39 against Nava, 27 against Villa de Aranda) suggests they can trouble even a second-placed defence. The narrow edge to the hosts reflects the balance of probabilities rather than any commanding advantage.

Backing Puerto Sagunto offers value for bettors willing to embrace the uncertainty. The hosts hold a marginal edge in a match where the margins are genuinely fine. Expect a high-scoring, open affair in which both sides should find the back of the net regularly. For those seeking tighter odds, the draw remains a viable option at 5.1% probability, though the home win represents the most likely outcome.

Match info

Tournaments:

Type

League

Statistics

Odds Comparison

Recent Form

Puerto Sagunto
L
D
W
L
L
CD Bidasoa Irun
W
W
W
L
W

Standings

#TeamMPWLPTS
1
Barcelona
88016
2
CD Bidasoa Irun
88016
3
Atl. Valladolid
86113
4
La Rioja
85112
5
Torrelavega
85211
6
Granollers
85211
7
Caserio Ciudad Real
8338
8
Cuenca
8246
9
Proin Sevilla
8356
10
Ademar
8356
11
Horneo Alicante
8356
12
Puerto Sagunto
8255
13
Villa de Aranda
8154
14
Puente Genil
8163
15
Nava
8163
16
Morrazo Cangas
8172
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