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Expected score: Tiller 30-32 Varhaug
Tiller hosts Varhaug in the 1. Division on 15 November in a match between two struggling sides. Tiller sit 14th with no wins from 10 games, while Varhaug occupy 11th with just 2 wins from 9. Both teams are searching for points, but the statistics suggest the visitors hold the edge.
Team form
Tiller
Tiller have won none of their last five matches, conceding 38.2 goals per game across that run. They lost 27-45 to Ryger Stavanger, 24-31 to Bodo, 32-42 to Charlottenlund, 28-38 to Kragero IF, and 30-35 to Melhus. Their defence has been consistently breached, and they are averaging only 28.2 goals per game in attack—a concerning output in a division where opponents are regularly scoring in the low 30s. The home record offers little encouragement: they have not registered a win at all this season.
Varhaug
Varhaug have also struggled, winning just one of their last five. However, their recent record shows more resilience. They beat Ryger Stavanger 31-26 at home, demonstrating they can compete against stronger opponents. Losses to Asane (26-29), Bodo (24-35), Charlottenlund (30-31) and Melhus (31-37) reveal inconsistency, but their defensive record over the five-game sample—31.6 goals conceded per game—is notably better than Tiller's. They are also scoring at a similar rate to their hosts, averaging 28.4 goals per game, but the tighter defence gives them a structural advantage.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these teams are on record.
Key factors
The decisive factor is defensive solidity. Tiller concede nearly 7 goals per game more than Varhaug over recent form, a substantial gap at this level. Varhaug's win over Ryger Stavanger shows they can raise their level in away fixtures. Tiller's inability to secure any victory this season, combined with their leaky defence, suggests they will struggle to contain a Varhaug side that, while inconsistent, has shown they can score and defend competently. The visitors' superior defensive record and proven ability to win matches—even if infrequent—should carry them through.
Prediction
The model favours Varhaug as the more likely winner. Their defensive organisation and the single recent win give them a structural advantage over a Tiller side that has conceded heavily throughout the season. The expected goal balance slightly favours Varhaug, and their away form, though patchy, is more convincing than Tiller's home form. A close match is anticipated, with both teams capable of scoring in the high 20s to low 30s.
Varhaug are the favourite to take the points. Tiller will need a significant improvement in defensive discipline to prevent another heavy defeat at home. The visitors' better defensive record and proven ability to win make them the more likely winner, though Tiller's desperation for points means they cannot be ruled out entirely.
Match info
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League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 18 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 | |
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 13 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 12 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 4 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 4 | |
| 13 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 2 | |
| 14 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
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Tiller vs Varhaug - Handball Prediction & Betting Tips
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