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Horneo Alicante vs Ademar Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 25-10-2026
Oct 2511:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Horneo Alicante 32-34 Ademar
Horneo AlicanteDrawAdemar
Horneo Alicante hosts Ademar in Liga ASOBAL on 25 October, a fixture between two mid-table sides locked on identical records after six games. Both teams sit on 4 points with 2 wins and 4 losses, occupying positions 8 and 11 respectively. This is a direct battle for league positioning between evenly matched opponents searching for consistency.
Team form
Horneo Alicante
Horneo Alicante have won just once in their last five outings, a 22-18 victory at Puerto Sagunto on 9 October. Since then, form has deteriorated sharply. They lost 31-34 at home to CD Bidasoa Irun most recently, a narrow reverse that typifies their season: competitive but unable to close out tight contests. Over the past five matches, Horneo have scored 28.8 goals per game while conceding 34.8, a differential of minus 6 per fixture. Heavy defeats to Barcelona (31-46) and Granollers (31-41) show they struggle against stronger opponents, yet they remain competitive in lower-profile matchups. Defensive lapses have been costly; they have conceded 30 or more goals in four of their five recent games.
Ademar
Ademar's form is marginally more encouraging. They claimed a 40-35 home win over Villa de Aranda on 16 October, their most recent outing, suggesting some attacking potency. However, inconsistency defines their campaign: losses to Nava (36-38), Caserio Ciudad Real (33-35) and Cuenca (32-35) reveal a pattern of narrow defeats. Over five games, Ademar have scored 34.8 goals per game against 35.0 conceded—a near-perfect balance that masks their inability to convert tight matches into wins. They have won just twice in six league games, the same conversion rate as Horneo, but their offensive output is slightly higher. The narrow loss to Nava and the one-goal defeat to Caserio suggest Ademar can compete with mid-tier opponents but lack the clinical edge required for consistent victory.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these teams in the available data, so this match offers no historical precedent to guide analysis.
Key factors
Possession and defensive discipline will determine the outcome. Horneo's home advantage is offset by their poor defensive record: conceding 34.8 per game at home and away combined leaves them vulnerable to Ademar's attacking rhythm. Ademar's slight offensive edge (34.8 goals per game versus Horneo's 28.8) suggests they can trouble the hosts, but Horneo's home court may provide tactical stability. Both sides have shown they can score in the 32-35 range; the team that limits the opposition's efficiency will likely prevail. Ademar's recent win over Villa de Aranda indicates they can execute under pressure, a trait Horneo has failed to demonstrate consistently.
Prediction
The model favours Ademar by a narrow margin. Their marginally superior offensive output and recent positive result outweigh Horneo's home-ground advantage. Both teams are defensively porous and evenly matched in quality, but Ademar's slight edge in goals scored per game (34.8 to 28.8) tips the balance. The predicted scoreline of 32-34 reflects a close contest typical of this competitive level, with Ademar edging a tight affair. Confidence is limited given the narrow differential between the sides and the unpredictability of mid-table Liga ASOBAL fixtures.
Ademar hold a slight favourite status for this match. While Horneo's home venue provides tactical comfort, Ademar's marginally superior recent form and offensive efficiency make them marginally more likely to secure victory in what should be a closely contested encounter. Fantasy league players should monitor team news closely, as both squads' inconsistency means form can shift rapidly. A narrow away win appears the most probable outcome, though a close scoreline is expected.
Match info
Tournaments:
Liga ASOBAL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Horneo Alicante
L
W
L
L
L
Ademar
W
L
L
W
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atl. Valladolid | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  CD Bidasoa Irun | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 |  Barcelona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Granollers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 |  La Rioja | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Torrelavega | 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Caserio Ciudad Real | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Horneo Alicante | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 |  Cuenca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 |  Proin Sevilla | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 |  Puerto Sagunto | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 |  Ademar | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 |  Puente Genil | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Morrazo Cangas | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 |  Nava | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Villa de Aranda | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
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