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Toulouse vs Limoges Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 30-10-2026
Oct 3019:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Toulouse 30-32 Limoges
ToulouseDrawLimoges
Toulouse host Limoges in a Starligue clash that pits a struggling mid-table side against a team riding genuine form. The hosts sit 13th with 3 wins from 8 games; Limoges occupy 5th with 5 wins already banked. On paper, the visitors arrive as the sharper outfit, though Toulouse's home record offers a thread of hope.
Team form
Toulouse
Toulouse have won just 3 of their last 5 Starligue outings, scoring 28.8 goals per game while leaking 30.0. The wins came against St. Raphael (35-31) and Chartres (30-28) — competitive affairs rather than dominant performances. More troubling: losses to Provence Aix (26-32) and PSG (23-30) suggest inconsistency in both attack and defence. They averaged only 26 goals in their defeats, a concerning dip. At home, they beat St. Raphael and Chartres, so the crowd factor exists, but the defensive fragility remains a problem.
Limoges
Limoges have won 4 of their last 5 outings across Starligue and European competition, averaging 35.4 goals for and 31.2 against. Their sole loss came at Montpellier (33-35) — a tight contest. They've posted 35+ goals in three of these five matches, including 46 against FH Hafnarfjordur. The European League fixtures inflate the scoring slightly, but their Starligue form is solid: wins over Nimes (35-31) and Cesson Rennes-Metropole (31-29) show they can grind out results. The away loss to Montpellier is their only blip.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these sides in the available data, so direct history offers no tactical clues.
Key factors
Limoges' offensive potency is the defining metric here. They've scored 35+ goals in three of five recent matches and average 3.5 goals more per game than Toulouse over the same span. Toulouse's defence has conceded 30 per game in recent form, a rate that invites trouble against a visiting attack this prolific. Conversely, Toulouse's home record — two wins in their last three at this ground — suggests they can compete when the crowd is behind them. Limoges' away loss to Montpellier hints they're not invulnerable on the road, though that fixture was close. The league standings gap (5th vs 13th) reflects the underlying quality difference.
Prediction
Limoges hold a narrow edge. They're the better-drilled side with superior recent form and a more reliable attack. Toulouse's defensive leakiness — 30 goals conceded per game — is a structural weakness that Limoges' 35.4-goal-per-game average should exploit. However, Toulouse at home are not a pushover, and the margin between the sides is not vast. The expected goal balance slightly favours the visitors, but not decisively. A close contest is the most honest read.
Limoges are marginally more likely to leave with the points, but this is a tight affair. Expect a high-scoring game; both sides have shown they can put the ball in the net consistently. The visitors' slight favourite tag reflects their superior form and league position rather than any dominant edge. Toulouse will make this difficult at home, but Limoges' firepower should just prevail.
Match info
Tournaments:
Starligue(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Toulouse
W
L
W
L
W
Limoges
L
W
L
W
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSG | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 |  Nantes | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 8 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Nimes | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Limoges | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Tremblay | 8 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Provence Aix | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 |  Caen | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Chartres | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Selestat | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Saran | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Chambery Savoie | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Toulouse | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 |  St. Raphael | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 |  Cesson Rennes-Metropole | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| 16 |  Dunkerque | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
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