Pirin vs Fregata Burgas Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 31-10-2026

Oct 3111:00
Pirin

Not Started

Fregata Burgas
Match Prediction

Expected score: Pirin 28-32 Fregata Burgas

27%
68%
PirinDrawFregata Burgas

Pirin hosts Fregata Burgas in the A RHG on 31 October 2026, a fixture that pits the sixth-placed home side against the league leaders. Fregata Burgas arrive with a commanding record, while Pirin seek to build on recent home success. The visitors' superior form and goal-scoring output make them the clear favourites.

Team form

Pirin

Pirin have won 2 of their opening 4 matches, collecting 4 points to sit sixth. Their recent record shows volatility: a 28–26 home victory over NSA Sofia on 24 October was preceded by a heavy 25–43 away defeat to Lokomotiv Gorna on 4 October. Over their last four games, they have scored 28.0 goals per match but conceded 30.8, indicating a defensive fragility that has cost them in losses to Osam Lovech (28–33) and Lokomotiv Gorna. The home win against Shumen (31–21) demonstrates their capacity to impose themselves at home, yet consistency remains elusive.

Fregata Burgas

Fregata Burgas lead the standings with 6 points from 4 matches, having won three and lost one. Their attacking prowess is evident: they average 35.0 goals per game over this period, with a standout 50–27 victory over Dobrudja on 3 October. Defensively, they concede just 26.5 per match, the tightest record among the two teams. Recent wins include a 28–25 success at Spartak Varna and a 35–25 home triumph over Osam Lovech. A single loss to Chardafon Gabrovo (27–29 away) on 10 October is their only blemish, but the overall trajectory is one of control and efficiency.

Head-to-head

No head-to-head history exists between these sides in the available record.

Key factors

The decisive factor is Fregata Burgas's superior goal-scoring efficiency and defensive solidity. They outscore Pirin by 7.0 goals per game (35.0 versus 28.0) and concede 4.3 fewer (26.5 versus 30.8). Pirin's home advantage is real—they beat Shumen and NSA Sofia at this venue—but it is insufficient to offset Fregata Burgas's league-leading form. The visitors' ability to control both ends of the court, demonstrated by their 50-goal performance and consistent defensive discipline, positions them to dictate play. Pirin's defensive lapses, exemplified by the 43-goal concession to Lokomotiv Gorna, suggest they lack the resilience to contain Fregata Burgas's attack.

Prediction

Fregata Burgas are the clear favourites based on their superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive record. They have won three of four matches while Pirin have managed two wins. The 7.0-goal-per-game advantage in scoring and 4.3-goal advantage in defensive efficiency strongly favour the visitors. Although Pirin can score at home, their defensive vulnerabilities make them vulnerable to Fregata Burgas's potent offence. The model expects Fregata Burgas to prevail with a predicted scoreline of 28–32.

Fregata Burgas should win this match. Their league-leading form, superior goal-scoring rate, and tighter defence make them strong favourites. Pirin's home advantage provides some mitigation, but the visitors' overall quality is too pronounced. A Fregata Burgas victory is the most likely outcome.

Match info

Tournaments:

A RHG(2026)

Type

League

Statistics

Odds Comparison

Recent Form

Pirin
W
L
W
L
Fregata Burgas
W
L
W
W

Standings

#TeamMPWLPTS
1
Fregata Burgas
4316
2
Lokomotiv Gorna
4316
3
Chardafon Gabrovo
4316
4
Spartak Varna
4215
5
NSA Sofia
4224
6
Pirin
4224
7
Osam Lovech
4224
8
Shumen
4123
9
HK Levski
4031
10
Dobrudja
4031
Prediction icon

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