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Dubuque Fighting Saints vs Waterloo Black Hawks Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 01-11-2026
Nov 123:05
Match Prediction
Expected score: Waterloo Black Hawks 4-3 Dubuque Fighting Saints
Waterloo Black HawksDrawDubuque Fighting Saints
Dubuque Fighting Saints host Waterloo Black Hawks in a USHL matchup on November 1st, 2026. Waterloo sits second in the standings with 16 points from 6 wins and 1 loss across 10 games, while Dubuque occupies fourth place with 12 points from 5 wins and 6 losses in 12 outings. The visitors come in as the stronger side on paper, but Dubuque will look to exploit home ice and recent offensive form.
Team form
Waterloo Black Hawks
Dubuque's last five games show a side that can score in bunches but struggles with consistency. They've put up 20 goals across five matches (4.0 per game) yet conceded 21 (4.2 per game), revealing a leaky defence. Their most recent outing saw them beat USA U18 6-3, but that came after back-to-back losses to the same opponent. A 5-3 home win over Youngstown Phantoms on October 10th demonstrated their offensive ceiling, though a 2-0 shutout loss at home to Youngstown just a day later exposed defensive vulnerabilities. The Fighting Saints can put pucks in the net when clicking, but they're giving up too many chances at the other end.
Dubuque Fighting Saints
Waterloo enters this fixture as the clear form team. Over their last five games, they've scored 18 goals (3.6 per game) while conceding just 12 (2.4 per game)—a much tighter defensive profile than their opponents. They've won three of their last five, including a 6-3 victory over Dubuque on October 2nd, which is their most recent head-to-head result. A 2-6 loss to Madison Capitols on October 24th was their only blemish in this stretch, but they bounced back with two wins over Des Moines (2-1 and 5-0), showing resilience. Waterloo's ability to control play and limit scoring chances makes them the safer bet defensively.
Head-to-head
Waterloo's 6-3 victory over Dubuque on October 2nd provides the most recent reference point between these teams. That result suggests Waterloo's structured game plan and defensive discipline can trouble Dubuque's porous backline.
Key factors
Dubuque's home-ice advantage is real, and their offensive output (4.0 goals per game) gives them a path to victory. However, Waterloo's superior defensive record (2.4 goals conceded per game versus Dubuque's 4.2) and their recent 6-3 win over this exact opponent loom large. The Black Hawks' ability to limit high-danger chances will be critical; if they can keep Dubuque to their average and convert their own chances efficiently, they should control the game. Conversely, if Dubuque can sustain offensive pressure and tighten up defensively, they have the firepower to pull off an upset at home.
Prediction
Waterloo's league position, superior form, and recent head-to-head advantage make them the clear favourite. They've proven they can beat Dubuque and do so convincingly. Dubuque's offensive potential keeps this competitive, but Waterloo's defensive discipline and consistency across their last five games suggest they'll manage the tempo and limit Dubuque's chances. This should be a fairly open game with both teams capable of scoring, but Waterloo's structural advantages give them the edge.
Back Waterloo Black Hawks to win. They're the stronger team in the standings, they've beaten Dubuque recently, and their defensive record is significantly better. Dubuque can score, but Waterloo's discipline and poise make them the smart pick for the road win.
Match info
Tournaments:
USHL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Dubuque Fighting Saints
W
W
W
L
L
Waterloo Black Hawks
W
L
L
W
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Waterloo Black Hawks | 12 | 7 | 1 | 20 |
| 2 |  Tri-City Storm | 12 | 8 | 3 | 18 |
| 3 |  Fargo Force | 13 | 9 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 |  Sioux Falls Stampede | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Des Moines Buccaneers | 13 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Omaha Lancers | 11 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Lincoln Stars | 12 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Sioux City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 1 |  Cedar Rapids | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 |  Muskegon Lumberjacks | 13 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Dubuque Fighting Saints | 13 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Chicago Steel | 10 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 |  Madison Capitols | 10 | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Youngstown Phantoms | 12 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 |  USA U18 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 |  Green Bay Gamblers | 12 | 2 | 9 | 6 |
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Dubuque Fighting Saints vs Waterloo Black Hawks - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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