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HC Norilsk vs Zvezda Moscow Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 01-11-2026
Nov 106:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: HC Norilsk 3-1 Zvezda Moscow
HC NorilskDrawZvezda Moscow
HC Norilsk hosts Zvezda Moscow in a VHL matchup on 1 November 2026. The hosts arrive in sharp form, while Moscow sits 25th in the standings with just 3 wins from 17 games. This fixture presents a stark contrast in recent trajectory and should favour the home side decisively.
Team form
HC Norilsk
HC Norilsk has won three of its last five VHL outings, most recently defeating Buran Voronezh 3-2 away on 25 September. The team scored 12 goals across that five-game stretch while conceding 10, averaging 2.4 goals for and 2.0 against per match. A pair of losses to Dyn. Altay and Metallurg Novokuznetsk interrupted what is otherwise a confident run, but the recent victories—including a 3-0 shutout of Omskie Krylia and a 4-1 dismantling of Rubin Tyumen—show offensive potency and defensive solidity when the team clicks.
Zvezda Moscow
Zvezda Moscow's record reads as deeply troubled. The club has won just once in its last five outings, a 4-3 victory over Buran Voronezh in a friendly on 22 August. Across those five games, Moscow scored 8 goals but conceded 20—an alarming 4.0 per match. Three consecutive VHL losses frame the recent picture: 0-3 to Izhevsk, 2-7 to Olympia, and 0-3 to Khimik. With only 3 wins and 9 losses from 17 league games, Moscow sits bottom of the standings on 15 points, a position that reflects both offensive struggles and defensive fragility.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these teams in the available data.
Key factors
The gulf in recent form is the dominant factor. Norilsk's attacking average of 2.4 goals per game over five matches substantially outpaces Moscow's 1.6, while Norilsk's defensive record of 2.0 conceded per game is less than half Moscow's alarming 4.0. Norilsk's home advantage compounds this disparity. Moscow's inability to tighten its defence—conceding 7 to Olympia and 3 to both Izhevsk and Khimik—suggests the visiting team will struggle to contain a Norilsk side that has scored 3 or more goals in three of its last five games. Moscow's offensive output, meanwhile, has rarely exceeded 2 goals in recent fixtures, limiting its capacity to keep pace.
Prediction
The statistical model rates Norilsk as a strong favourite, reflecting the substantial gap in current form and the home-ice advantage. Norilsk's recent consistency in both attack and defence, combined with Moscow's defensive vulnerabilities and low scoring rate, points to a comfortable home victory. The expected-goals balance strongly favours the hosts, who should generate significantly more clear-cut opportunities than a Moscow side that has conceded at least 3 goals in three of its last five outings.
Norilsk should win this fixture. The hosts' offensive rhythm and defensive organisation stand in stark contrast to Moscow's struggles at both ends of the ice. Back the home side with confidence.
Match info
Tournaments:
VHL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
HC Norilsk
W
W
W
L
W
Zvezda Moscow
W
W
L
L
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omskie Krylia | 18 | 12 | 3 | 30 |
| 2 |  HC Norilsk | 20 | 11 | 5 | 28 |
| 3 |  Almetyevsk | 18 | 8 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 |  Perm | 19 | 11 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 |  AKM | 20 | 10 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 |  Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 20 | 9 | 5 | 27 |
| 7 |  Kaluga | 20 | 9 | 5 | 26 |
| 8 |  Orsk | 17 | 7 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 |  SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 10 | 4 | 25 |
| 10 |  Buran Voronezh | 17 | 8 | 4 | 24 |
| 11 |  Toros Neftekamsk | 19 | 10 | 6 | 23 |
| 12 |  HC Yugra | 19 | 9 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 |  Kristall Saratov | 17 | 9 | 5 | 23 |
| 14 |  Khimik | 18 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 15 |  Ryazan | 21 | 5 | 8 | 22 |
| 16 |  Tambov | 17 | 8 | 6 | 20 |
| 17 |  Gornyak | 17 | 7 | 6 | 20 |
| 18 |  Bars | 19 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
| 19 |  Dinamo St. Petersburg | 17 | 6 | 7 | 18 |
| 20 |  Rubin Tyumen | 18 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 21 |  Olympia | 20 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| 22 |  Dyn. Altay | 19 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 23 |  Krasnoyarsk | 19 | 6 | 11 | 16 |
| 24 |  Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 16 | 5 | 5 | 16 |
| 25 |  Zvezda Moscow | 17 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 26 |  Dizel | 17 | 3 | 9 | 14 |
| 27 |  Kurgan | 17 | 2 | 9 | 12 |
| 28 |  CSK VVS | 18 | 3 | 12 | 10 |
| 29 |  Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 17 | 3 | 11 | 10 |
| 30 |  Izhevsk | 18 | 2 | 12 | 10 |
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HC Norilsk vs Zvezda Moscow - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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