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Anaheim Ducks vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 09-11-2026
Nov 901:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Anaheim Ducks 4-2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Anaheim DucksDrawPittsburgh Penguins
Anaheim hosts Pittsburgh in an NHL matchup that pits a middling home side against a struggling visitor. The Ducks sit tenth in the standings with a 6-7 record through 13 games, while the Penguins languish in fifteenth place with just 2 wins from 16 outings. This is a clash between two teams searching for consistency, though the home-ice advantage and recent form trends favour the hosts significantly.
Team form
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim's last five games show a team oscillating between competence and vulnerability. The Ducks won consecutive road games against Calgary and Winnipeg—beating the Jets 5-1 on 10 October—but have since stumbled at home, losing to Boston 2-4 and Calgary 2-4. Over this five-game stretch, they scored 15 goals but conceded 16, averaging 3.0 per game offensively and 3.2 defensively. The wins suggest they can generate offence when conditions align, but the home losses expose defensive lapses that a sharper opponent could exploit.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh's form is markedly worse. The Penguins have lost all five of their most recent games, conceding 24 goals in the process—a punishing 4.8 per game. They managed only 12 goals across those five matches, averaging 2.4 per game. Defeats to Vegas (2-6), Colorado (2-5), Chicago (3-5), Washington (3-5) and Winnipeg (2-3) paint a picture of a defence in freefall and an offence that cannot compensate. Road form has been particularly damaging; four of these five losses came away from home.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these teams are available, so there is no head-to-head history to draw upon.
Key factors
The Ducks' home-ice advantage looms large. Anaheim has shown it can score—the 5-1 win over Winnipeg demonstrates offensive capability—while Pittsburgh's defence has been porous, surrendering nearly 5 goals per game in recent outings. The Penguins' inability to win on the road is a critical weakness; they arrive in Anaheim without a victory in their last four away games. Conversely, Anaheim's defensive inconsistency means Pittsburgh could find opportunities if they tighten their structure. The Ducks' recent home losses suggest they are not impenetrable, but Pittsburgh's current form does not inspire confidence in their ability to capitalize.
Prediction
The model identifies Anaheim as a clear favourite, reflecting the gap between the teams' recent trajectories and the home-ice edge. The Ducks' superior record, better goal differential over the last five games, and home venue support all point toward a Ducks victory. Pittsburgh's five-game losing streak and defensive fragility make them vulnerable, particularly against a side capable of scoring at volume. The predicted regulation score of 4-2 reflects Anaheim's offensive threat and Pittsburgh's defensive struggles, though the Penguins' ability to chip in goals keeps the margin realistic rather than a rout.
Back Anaheim to win. The Ducks should prevail in regulation, with the home advantage and Pittsburgh's poor form combining to make the hosts clear favourites. For fantasy league purposes, Anaheim's offensive players offer value, while Pittsburgh's defensive liabilities suggest caution on their back-end contributors. The Penguins remain capable of scoring, so a high-event game is plausible, but the Ducks are the side to trust here.
Match info
Tournaments:
NHL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Anaheim Ducks
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Pittsburgh Penguins
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W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Wild | 17 | 11 | 3 | 25 |
| 2 |  Edmonton Oilers | 17 | 9 | 3 | 25 |
| 3 |  Vegas Golden Knights | 18 | 9 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Utah Mammoth | 17 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Dallas Stars | 16 | 6 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Colorado Avalanche | 17 | 9 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 |  Seattle Kraken | 15 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 |  Nashville Predators | 16 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 |  Anaheim Ducks | 16 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 |  St. Louis Blues | 16 | 7 | 7 | 16 |
| 11 |  Calgary Flames | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| 12 |  Winnipeg Jets | 17 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 13 |  San Jose Sharks | 17 | 2 | 9 | 15 |
| 14 |  Los Angeles Kings | 14 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 15 |  Chicago Blackhawks | 17 | 3 | 12 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vancouver Canucks | 18 | 1 | 14 | 7 |
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes | 18 | 12 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 |  Boston Bruins | 17 | 9 | 4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens | 16 | 6 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 |  Tampa Bay Lightning | 15 | 9 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 |  New Jersey Devils | 16 | 7 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Ottawa Senators | 17 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 |  Florida Panthers | 16 | 7 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 |  New York Rangers | 17 | 9 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Toronto Maple Leafs | 17 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 10 |  Buffalo Sabres | 15 | 5 | 5 | 17 |
| 11 |  Detroit Red Wings | 17 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 12 |  Washington Capitals | 14 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
| 13 |  New York Islanders | 15 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
| 14 |  Columbus Blue Jackets | 14 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
| 15 |  Pittsburgh Penguins | 16 | 2 | 9 | 12 |
| 16 |  Philadelphia Flyers | 18 | 4 | 10 | 12 |
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Anaheim Ducks vs Pittsburgh Penguins - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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