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Frölunda vs Malmo Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 12-11-2026
Nov 1218:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Frölunda 3-2 Malmo
FrölundaDrawMalmo
Frölunda hosts Malmo in an SHL clash on 12 November 2026 that shapes up as a genuine test for both sides. The hosts sit second in the standings with 31 points from 16 games, while Malmo occupy fourth place with 23 points from 13 matches. The bookmaker odds reflect Frölunda's stronger league position and recent record: home win at 1.39, away win at 2.87. This is a fixture where recent form and current momentum matter enormously in determining the outcome.
Team form
Frölunda
Frölunda have been outstanding. They have won all five of their most recent matches, scoring 21 goals and conceding 12 across those games—an average of 4.2 goals for and 2.4 against per outing. That attacking potency is the standout feature: they put seven past Luleå, five past both Vaxjo and Storhamar, and two past Brynas. They also beat Malmo 2-1 away on 26 September, a direct head-to-head victory that carries weight. Their position at the top of the table reflects consistency and firepower in equal measure.
Malmo
Malmo's record is more uneven. Over their last five games they have won three and lost two, scoring 16 goals and conceding 12—averaging 3.2 for and 2.4 against. The losses came to Timrå and Farjestad, though they did record an impressive 6-0 home win over Orebro and a 4-2 victory at IF Bjorkloven. Their scoring output is solid but not as relentless as Frölunda's; their defensive frailty—conceding six to Farjestad—suggests they can be exposed by a high-tempo attack.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these sides are recorded in the available data.
Key factors
Frölunda's attacking depth is the primary factor here. They have scored 4.2 goals per game in their last five outings and demonstrated they can break down Malmo's defence already this season. Malmo's vulnerability on the road is also relevant: they have conceded heavily in away defeats and will face a Frölunda side playing at home with genuine attacking ambition. The hosts' second-place finish reflects a team in control of their season, while Malmo, four points behind with a game in hand, need to find consistency. Frölunda's recent form is simply superior in both volume of goals and defensive solidity.
Prediction
The model favours Frölunda as the more likely winner, reflecting their league position, unbeaten recent run, and the fact they have already beaten Malmo this season. The expected goal balance tilts toward the hosts, suggesting they should generate more clear-cut chances. Malmo are capable of scoring—they average 3.2 per game—but Frölunda's attacking threat and home advantage make them the favourites to take the points. The predicted regulation-time score of 3-2 captures the likelihood that both teams will find the back of the net but Frölunda will edge the contest.
Back Frölunda to win. The hosts are the favourite here, priced at 1.39, and their recent form, league position and head-to-head advantage over Malmo this season all support that backing. Malmo can score and will make this competitive, but Frölunda's attacking output and consistency make them the value play for bettors seeking a higher-probability winner in this fixture.
Match info
Tournaments:
SHL(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Frölunda
W
L
L
W
L
Malmo
W
W
W
L
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Farjestad | 14 | 12 | 0 | 39 |
| 2 |  Frolunda | 16 | 9 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 |  Skelleftea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 28 |
| 4 |  Malmo | 13 | 6 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Rogle | 14 | 6 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 |  Orebro | 13 | 6 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 |  Lulea | 13 | 5 | 5 | 18 |
| 8 |  Timra | 13 | 4 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 |  Djurgarden | 14 | 3 | 6 | 17 |
| 10 |  IF Bjorkloven | 13 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 |  Brynas | 13 | 4 | 7 | 15 |
| 12 |  Vaxjo | 14 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 13 |  Linkoping | 14 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 14 |  HV 71 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
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Frölunda vs Malmo - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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