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Expected score: TPS Turku 4-1 Jokerit
TPS Turku host Jokerit in Liiga on 13 November in a fixture that pits the league's eighth-placed side against a struggling sixteenth. The visitors arrive in poor form and face a steep challenge against a home team that has shown consistent attacking threat in recent weeks.
Team form
TPS Turku
TPS Turku sit eighth with 31 points from 19 games, a record of 9 wins and 7 losses. Over their last five matches, they have scored 17 goals while conceding 9, averaging 3.4 and 1.8 per game respectively. Their recent record shows three wins in their last four outings, including victories over IFK Helsinki (5-1) and KooKoo (4-2), though they did suffer a defeat at Vaasan Sport (1-2). The home side's attack has been their strength, and they demonstrated this in a friendly against Jokerit on 25 August, winning 4-2.
Jokerit
Jokerit's season has been deeply troubled. Sitting sixteenth with just 15 points from 18 games (3 wins, 10 losses), they have conceded at an alarming rate. Over their last five matches, they have scored only 8 goals while conceding 24—an average of 1.6 and 4.8 per game. All five of their recent outings have ended in defeat, including heavy losses to Tappara (0-6) and Lukko (2-7). Their defensive fragility has been the defining feature of their campaign, and they offer little evidence of stemming the tide.
Head-to-head
No competitive head-to-head record exists between these sides in Liiga. However, they met in a club friendly on 25 August, with TPS Turku winning 4-2 at home, a result that underscores the gulf in current form and capability.
Key factors
The disparity in recent performance is stark. TPS Turku's attacking potency—3.4 goals per game over five matches—contrasts sharply with Jokerit's defensive vulnerability at 4.8 goals conceded per game. TPS Turku have won three of their last four, while Jokerit have lost all five. The home advantage and TPS Turku's superior league position compound the imbalance. Jokerit's inability to score (1.6 per game) makes it unlikely they will generate sufficient attacking pressure to trouble a TPS Turku side that has shown clinical finishing. The friendly result between the teams reinforces this pattern.
Prediction
The model projects a clear home advantage. TPS Turku's attacking efficiency and Jokerit's defensive collapse create a significant mismatch. The visitors' recent form—five consecutive defeats and a goal differential of minus 16 over five games—suggests they lack the resilience to compete. TPS Turku's home record and attacking output make them strong favourites. The predicted scoreline of 4-1 reflects TPS Turku's capacity to score freely against a porous defence while Jokerit manage minimal threat.
Back TPS Turku to win. The hosts are clear favourites given their form, league position and the visitors' alarming defensive record. Jokerit's struggles are too deep to overcome in this fixture. Exercise caution only in that no team is invincible, but the evidence strongly favours a home victory with a comfortable margin.
Match info
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Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 40 | |
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 37 | |
| 3 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 36 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 35 | |
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 34 | |
| 6 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 34 | |
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 33 | |
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 33 | |
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 31 | |
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 28 | |
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 27 | |
| 12 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 26 | |
| 13 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 24 | |
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 24 | |
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 19 | |
| 16 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 15 | |
| 17 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 10 |
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TPS Turku vs Jokerit - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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