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Lukko vs TPS Turku Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 23-10-2026
Oct 2315:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Lukko 1-2 TPS Turku
LukkoDrawTPS Turku
Lukko host TPS Turku in a Liiga clash on 23 October 2026, with the visitors arriving as favourites despite sitting two places lower in the standings. TPS have found their rhythm in recent weeks and will be confident they can trouble a Lukko side that has shown inconsistency at home.
Team form
Lukko
Lukko occupy third place with 27 points from 14 games, but their recent record tells a mixed story. They've won just one of their last five outings — a 3-1 victory away at Hameenlinna — and have suffered two heavy defeats at home, losing 0-5 to JYP and 0-2 to Ilves. The 7-2 demolition of Jokerit on 5 September proved they have attacking firepower, yet they've conceded 2.4 goals per game over this five-match stretch. Defensively fragile at times, Lukko will need to tighten up if they're to frustrate a TPS team in form.
TPS Turku
TPS Turku sit seventh with 24 points but have built genuine momentum. They've won three of their last five Liiga matches, including a 5-1 home thrashing of IFK Helsinki and a 4-2 victory over KooKoo. Away from the league, they've also beaten Jokerit (4-2) and Lugano (3-2) in friendlies. Over these five games, TPS have scored 3.4 goals per outing while conceding just 1.8 — a markedly stronger defensive record than their hosts. Their only recent stumble came away at Vaasan Sport (1-2), but the overall trajectory is upward.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head history is available between these sides in the available data.
Key factors
TPS's superior defensive solidity is the standout metric here. They've conceded significantly fewer goals per game than Lukko over the recent sample, and their attacking output — averaging 3.4 goals — suggests they can hurt the hosts. Lukko's home record has been patchy; they've been breached repeatedly by stronger opponents and will struggle to contain a TPS side playing with confidence. The visitors' ability to score consistently and keep things tight at the back gives them a clear edge in this matchup.
Prediction
TPS are the favourite to take the points. Their recent form, particularly their defensive discipline and attacking potency, outweighs Lukko's higher league position. Lukko have shown defensive vulnerabilities at home and lack the consistency TPS have demonstrated over their last five games. The visitors' 3.4 goals-per-game average and 1.8 goals-conceded rate point to a side capable of controlling this encounter.
Back TPS Turku as the favourite to win. They arrive in better form, defend more solidly, and have the attacking threat to trouble Lukko's leaky home defence. Expect a competitive game, but the visitors should edge it.
Match info
Tournaments:
Liiga(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Lukko
W
W
W
L
W
TPS Turku
W
W
W
L
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ilves | 14 | 8 | 4 | 28 |
| 2 |  Assat | 15 | 8 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 |  Lukko | 14 | 8 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 |  Jukurit | 15 | 7 | 5 | 27 |
| 5 |  SaiPa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 |  Karpat | 15 | 5 | 3 | 26 |
| 7 |  TPS Turku | 14 | 7 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 |  JYP | 12 | 7 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 |  Hameenlinna | 14 | 5 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kiekko-Espoo | 15 | 5 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 |  Tappara | 13 | 5 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Vaasan Sport | 13 | 5 | 5 | 19 |
| 13 |  KalPa | 13 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
| 14 |  Pelicans | 12 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
| 15 |  IFK Helsinki | 13 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 16 |  Jokerit | 15 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 17 |  KooKoo | 14 | 1 | 11 | 5 |
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Lukko vs TPS Turku - Hockey Prediction & Betting Tips
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