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Sporting W vs Benfica W Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 15-11-2026
Nov 1518:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Sporting W 1-3 Benfica W
Sporting WDrawBenfica W
Sporting W host Benfica W in a 1. Divisao Women fixture on 15 November 2026, with both sides locked in a tight battle near the top of the table. Benfica hold second place on 13 points from five matches, while Sporting sit third with 12 points. The margin between them is narrow, but the recent trajectory of each team tells a revealing story about where the advantage lies in this encounter.
Team form
Sporting W
Sporting have won two of their last five outings, most recently a clean 3-0 victory over Leixoes at home on 8 November. However, that result masks underlying fragility: they lost three of their previous four matches, including consecutive defeats to Maccabi Ashdod in the Challenge Cup and a 0-3 reverse at Braga in the league. Over the five-game window, Sporting averaged 1.8 sets scored per match against 2.0 conceded—a deficit that reflects defensive vulnerability when facing stronger opposition.
Benfica W
Benfica's record over the same period reads as more consistent. They have also won two of five, but their scoring average of 2.4 sets per game significantly outpaces Sporting's 1.8. Critically, Benfica conceded only 1.8 sets per game compared to Sporting's 2.0, suggesting a more disciplined defensive structure. Their sole league loss came at Leixoes (2-3) on 1 November, while their Challenge Cup defeats to Olympiacos Piraeus came in competitive matches. The 3-0 home win over Vilacondense on 8 November demonstrated their capacity to dominate when conditions favour them.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head history is available between these two sides, so this matchup offers no precedent to guide prediction. Both teams enter on equal footing in terms of prior encounters.
Key factors
The statistical gap in recent form is the primary lever here. Benfica's superior scoring rate (2.4 to 1.8 sets per game) and tighter defence (1.8 to 2.0 sets conceded) create a structural advantage. Sporting's inconsistency—three losses in four matches before the Leixoes win—suggests they lack the resilience needed against a side ranked higher in the table. Benfica's position at number two is not accidental; they have converted opportunities more efficiently and limited damage when under pressure. Sporting's home advantage is real, but it has not insulated them from heavy defeats recently. The expected set distribution favours Benfica, with the model suggesting they will likely control the flow of the match.
Prediction
The data points to an away victory. Benfica's superior recent form, better scoring efficiency, and tighter defensive record create a clear edge. Sporting's vulnerability to stronger opponents—evidenced by the 0-3 loss to Braga and Challenge Cup defeats—suggests they will struggle to contain Benfica's more potent attack. While Sporting's home court provides some cushion, it is unlikely to be enough to overcome the form gap. The expected set count favours the visitors, and their league position reflects genuine quality that should tell on the day.
Benfica are the clear favourites to take this match. Their recent form, defensive solidity, and superior scoring rate make them strong candidates for the away win. Sporting will need to execute a disciplined defensive plan and convert their limited chances with precision to upset the odds, but their recent inconsistency suggests that is unlikely. Back Benfica to extend their lead at the top of the table.
Match info
Tournaments:
1. Divisao Women(2026)
Type
League
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Sporting W
W
W
L
L
L
Benfica W
W
L
L
L
W
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 18 |
| 2 |  Benfica W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 |  Leixoes W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Braga W | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Castelo Maia W | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Vilacondense W | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Vitoria Guimaraes W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mamede W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Clube Kairos W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 11 |  PV Colegio Efanor W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 |  Fiaes W | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
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